Monthly Archives: October 2013

How to Make $15.6 Million, Risk-Free

"You can buy CDSs without owning the underlying bond, which is essentially a speculation that McDonald's will default on that bond. Unless, of course, you have influence over the fast-food giant's management. Then it's not a speculation at all. It's a can't-lose trade. That's what Blackstone did. It took out an insurance policy on Codere, persuaded it to default, then collected $15.6 million in payouts. There was never a chance Blackstone would lose money on this arrangement. It was literally a risk-free trade." Continue reading →

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Finally, the End of Keynesianism

"Are you a Keynesian? So many seem to be. Do you really believe that a properly functioning, mathematically literate approach to high finance can salvage what's left of the financial systems of the US, the West, the entire world? Top central bankers apparently don't. Just look at this article excerpt. They've retreated from the idea of tapering until 2014 and Peter Schiff was probably correct that they won't really taper at all because they can't. That should put an end to Keynesianism, though probably it won't. The technocratic meme of money control is the most cherished of all dominant social themes." Continue reading →

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U.S. Dollar on the brink of 13-month lows: the long-term consequences

"While the stock market has been rising, the U.S. dollar has been sinking. It’s on the verge of breaking major 13-month lows. It’s not far from reversing everything it gained against a sinking euro during the recent European debt crisis. And once those barriers are breached, it could crash to its lowest level in history. But Washington doesn’t care, and few investors seem to give a damn. They celebrate the fact that, in the near term, a falling dollar helps make U.S. exports more competitive overseas. Plus, they like the fact that a dollar decline temporarily drives global investors away from safety and into risky investments, including U.S. stocks." Continue reading →

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Let Our Debt Scrub Our Brains

"A majority of Americans with 401(k)-type savings accounts are accumulating debt faster than they are setting aside money for retirement, further undermining the nation's troubled system for old-age saving, a new report has found. Three in five workers with defined contribution accounts are 'debt savers,' according to the report released Thursday, meaning their increasing mortgages, credit card balances and installment loans are outpacing the amount of money they are able to save for retirement." Continue reading →

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Doug Casey & Jim Rogers Legendary Investors’ Roundtable

"Jim and Doug discuss today's world economic and financial situation within the context of financial history and past financial panics. Jim and Doug talk about central planning, central banking, big government and how governments have only 3 real options to raise money. Next, Jason asks Doug and Jim about competing currencies like Bitcoin, gold and silver and whether they will be allowed under any circumstance. Jason asks Jim and Doug about the turmoil in the currency and bonds markets. Doug and Jim also talk about commodities like farmland, cattle, gold and other natural resource investing opportunities. Jim Rogers was in Singapore and Doug Casey was in Argentina." Continue reading →

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Cybersecurity: The NSA’s Big Budget Action Movie

"The exercise had an awesome name, inspired by the movies: 'Quantum Dawn 2.' On July 18, scads of U.S. banks, stock exchanges and government agencies took part in a digital fire drill — a practice run in the event all of Wall Street came under massive cyberattack. The scope of this exercise was systemwide, full-on meltdown. 'In some cases,' reads a new account of the exercise from Reuters, 'a blue chip stock started to plummet inexplicably. Soon, shocking news about the company hit the market, but unbeknownst to the participant, the news was fake. For others, trading systems were on the fritz, or government websites stopped functioning.'" Continue reading →

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Dwolla Credit launched as competitor to PayPal’s Bill Me Later

"Pay instantly and get paid instantly. It’s just how payments in the modern world should work. No more loading your account, no more typing in your card information. Simple and quick checkouts are just one benefit to building a new network, working with great developers and great retailers is another. On Dwolla’s network, there are no plastic cards, no terminals, no complicated reseller agreements, and no card data that could be left behind. Just the internet…simple. Credit, is now a feature. Dwolla Credit, provided by our friends at Comenity Capital bank, owned by Alliance Data (NYSE: ADS), is making this all possible. I’m exceptionally proud of the work both of our teams have done." Continue reading →

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The Markets Are Rigged! How to Opt Out and Still Profit

"Call me nostalgic, but I remember a time when a bad jobs outlook sent the large-cap companies down, not up. The economy is weak, so a company's profit expectations suffer. The logic makes sense. Today, however, we live in the topsy-turvy world of government-manipulated markets, where such asinine statements make complete sense… until they don't. The problem with a market that lives at the teat of Washington's policies is that it can be reversed in mere moments. One election. One popular news story. One social media outcry. One back-channel policy. One bloody coup d'état. That's all it takes." Continue reading →

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Bloated Fed Balance Sheet Propelling Market Rally

"Like preceding surges, the rally's latest chapter is disconnected from the real economy's fundamentals. Instead, what we are witnessing is the direct result of an unprecedented expansion of the Fed's balance sheet. Recently, it has become clear just how addicted the stock market is to easy money policies, as even the slightest hint of the Fed tapering its asset-purchasing program sends the markets into a frenzy. When the Fed might actually rein in its money printing is anyone's guess, but if the chart above is any indication, there's only one direction the market is headed once its life support is yanked away." Continue reading →

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