Author: Freedomwat.ch Staff

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Societé General Strategist: Yellen’s Dithering Fed Is Destined for Infamy

"The Federal Reserve’s failure to recognize its role in driving the third dangerous asset bubble in 15 years will destroy the central bank’s reputation for good, said Albert Edwards, global strategist at Societe Generale. Edwards said it’s too late to avoid another massive collapse in asset prices. 'This time the Fed’s largesse has fueled another corporate debt explosion,' he said. 'The real rate of corporate borrowing is even greater than was seen during the late 1990s tech bubble. This is 100 percent attributable to the Fed’s excessively loose monetary policy.'" Continue reading →

Continue ReadingSocieté General Strategist: Yellen’s Dithering Fed Is Destined for Infamy

‘Big Short’ Genius Thinks Another Financial Crisis Is Looming

"Well, we are right back at it: trying to stimulate growth through easy money. It hasn’t worked, but it’s the only tool the Fed’s got. Meanwhile, the Fed’s policies widen the wealth gap, which feeds political extremism, forcing gridlock in Washington. It seems the world is headed toward negative real interest rates on a global scale. This is toxic. Interest rates are used to price risk, and so in the current environment, the risk-pricing mechanism is broken. That is not healthy for an economy. We are building up terrific stresses in the system, and any fault lines there will certainly harm the outlook." Continue reading →

Continue Reading‘Big Short’ Genius Thinks Another Financial Crisis Is Looming

China halts stock market again after CSI 300 plunges more than 7%

"China's stocks were suspended from all trade on Thursday after theCSI300 tumbled more than 7 percent in early trade, triggering the market's circuit breaker for a second time this week. That drop-kicked stock markets across Asia, which were already wallowing after a weaker open amid concerns over China's swooning currency and economic slowdown as well as falling oil prices. China's securities regulator also issued new rules to restrict the percentage of shares major shareholders in listed companies can sell every three months, in an attempt to stabilize markets. Shareholders are not allowed to sell more than 1 percent of a company's share in that period." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChina halts stock market again after CSI 300 plunges more than 7%

Is ‘Peak Auto’ the Latest Threat to the Markets?

"More than 19% of today’s loans are going to subprime or 'deep subprime' borrowers — and total volume for lower credit score borrowers is just shy of its 2005 record. Indeed, lenders are basically giving loans to anyone with a pulse. The New York Fed recently found that application rejection rates have dropped to 3.3% from more than 10% a few years ago. The average loan now stretches out to a record 67 months, while 27% of U.S. loans sport terms of six to seven years. That’s because buyers can’t afford their monthly payments any other way. Bottom line: If you own auto stocks or stocks leveraged to the auto industry, sell them." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingIs ‘Peak Auto’ the Latest Threat to the Markets?

US auto loans hit $1 trillion for first time

"The loan balances have been driven up by a combination of three factors -- strong car sales, rising car prices and low interest rates. Interest rates are low. Borrowers with top credit scores can get loans for less than 3%. But the amount owed is up 11%, a sign of the increase in the size of car loans due to rising prices. The average amount borrowed is about $21,700, and buyers owe nearly $18,000 on average. The average new car purchase price now stands at $32,529, according to sales tracker TrueCar. The average car loan balance is rising faster than it is for mortgage loans, according to TransUnion. The average payment now stands at just under $400 a month." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingUS auto loans hit $1 trillion for first time

HK property developers push HK$1.3 billion in home loans to buyers

"Facing fierce competition amid a tightening of mortgage policies, a growing number of developers have been skirting bank regulations by providing home loans of up to 95 per cent of the purchase price through wholly owned financial institutions to lure buyers. They began offering mortgage loans after the maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio for bank mortgages for self-use residential properties with a value below HK$7 million was lowered from 70 per cent to 60 per cent in February last year. That meant home buyers needed to make a 40 per cent initial down payment, up from 30 per cent, when purchasing an apartment." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingHK property developers push HK$1.3 billion in home loans to buyers

China slaps cap on overseas UnionPay cash withdrawals

"The gatekeeper of China's foreign exchange has moved to plug a loophole in the capital account by capping the value of overseas withdrawals on bank cards, amid rising concerns over capital outflows and illicit money transfers. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange has slapped an annual cap on overseas cash withdrawals for UnionPay cardholders at 100,000 yuan or its equivalent per card. SAFE requires banks to add accounts that exceed the cap to a watch-list and forbid further cash withdrawals outside of China. Still, the withdrawal cap did not address another obvious escape route, the number of cards for which an individual can apply." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChina slaps cap on overseas UnionPay cash withdrawals

Chinese state begins buying stocks after Monday’s rout

"China's stocks rose in volatile trade as state-backed funds were said to intervene after a plunge on Monday wiped out $590 billion of market value. Trading was halted on Monday after the gauge plunged 7 percent, triggering new market circuit breakers that some analysts said exacerbated the sell-off. State-controlled funds bought equities and the securities regulator signaled a selling ban on major investors will remain beyond this week's expiration date, according to people familiar with the matter. The China Securities Regulatory Commission also suggested it's open to tweaking the circuit breakers, while the central bank conducted the biggest reverse-repurchase operations since September." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChinese state begins buying stocks after Monday’s rout

Puerto Rico Defaults On Bonds: Return Does Not Come Without Risk

"Many American investors bought Puerto Rican bonds over the past five years as we all searched desperately for yield in the face of the Federal Reserve pushing interest rates down to historic lows. Normally, investors understand that higher yields come with greater risks. However, during the past six years of extraordinary interventions by the Fed into all sorts of financial markets, many investors may have decided that those higher yield investments weren’t really all that risky. Puerto Rico’s problems may serve as a much-needed wake up call to investors. As rates rise, capital will move back toward safety and the risk premium demanded of higher risk projects is likely to increase." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingPuerto Rico Defaults On Bonds: Return Does Not Come Without Risk

China Launches Frightening ‘Social Credit’ Game; Soon Mandatory

"'Going under the innocuous name of Sesame Credit, China has created a score for how good a citizen you are,' explains Extra Credits’ video about the program. 'The owners of China’s largest social networks have partnered with the government to create something akin to the U.S. credit score — but, instead of measuring how regularly you pay your bills, it measures how obediently you follow the party line.' In the works for years, China’s ‘social credit system’ aims to create a docile, compliant citizenry who are fiscally and morally responsible by employing a game-like format to create self-imposed, group social control. In other words, China gamified peer pressure to control its citizenry." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChina Launches Frightening ‘Social Credit’ Game; Soon Mandatory