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Is It a Crash Yet?

"Nothing about these markets is normal – especially in the face of continued economic weakness. These markets are being shoved higher for a reason. In fact, the idea behind these nonsensical valuations is to convince investors to buy-buy-buy. Only when enough of them have entered again will markets ready themselves for a crash. We've stuck to our predictions of higher equity marts not because there are any underlying factors that justify these valuations – there are not. But our conviction remains that powerful players want a higher market – a sky-high market – because a crash from that elevation may be painful enough to produce a consensus for yet more market globalization." Continue reading →

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New York Fed Massively Disagrees With DOE’s Student Loan Default Data

"How high those delinquencies rates actually are, though, is an open question, which is turning into confusion on how to fix the problem. The most dire assessment is that one in three borrowers trying to repay student loans was late by 90 days or more at the end of 2012, according to The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in April. The U.S. Department of Education only publishes default statistics, and the official number of borrowers who default within two years of entering repayment is currently 10 percent. The default rate after three years is 14.7 percent. The default rates have been widely criticized for not giving an accurate picture of the number of student loan borrowers in distress." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingNew York Fed Massively Disagrees With DOE’s Student Loan Default Data

Here’s One Fight Uncle Sam Can’t Win

"Economic citizenship programs are proliferating. That’s something to celebrate. These programs are a bracing antidote to the increasing tendency of governments to impose travel restrictions against their citizens, using passports as weapons. This has long been the policy of authoritarian governments like North Korea and China. But in recent years, the US and UK have made much greater use of passport revocations and even involuntary loss of citizenship against persons they perceive as 'enemies of the state.' Is it really surprising that a market has arisen to deal with these draconian restrictions on one of humanity’s most basic rights, the right to leave one’s own country?" Continue reading →

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The US and China: A Difference in Approaches

"The threat from the US sheriff is very real. But presumably, this bullying approach would be less effective if attempted against one of the world's more powerful countries. If, for example, the US were to find itself in a situation such as the present one with China, in which the US appeared to be losing its battle over the dollar's power as the world's reserve currency, what would occur? Would the US sheriff attempt to bully China? And if the ploy did not succeed, would the US draw its six-guns and fire off a few rounds in the air for emphasis? And if the above were to take place, what would the Chinese reaction be?" Continue reading →

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The Strange Tale of Swiss Banking – And What It Means for You

"It is interesting that remaining private banks are switching from partnerships to corporations. Judicially enforced corporate personhood distorts markets and enables market behavior that would not otherwise be feasible or tolerated. What remains most puzzling is that this most powerful industry composed primarily of private Swiss banks allowed itself to be virtually ruined in a few years' time. The precedent has been set, however. One nation may indeed interfere judicially in the affairs of another and force compliance, part of a wider assertion of privilege by a US government that is attempting to turn banking systems around the world into part of the US tax collection effort." Continue reading →

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Former ECB Chief Economist: Buy Gold; Economic System is ‘Pure Fiction’

"Jürgen Stark, former vice president of the Bundesbank, and also former chief economist of the ECB, resigned in late 2011 for his outright rejection to the purchase of government bonds by the ECB. The monetary system was saved in 2011 through concerted action by major central banks worldwide. But, according to Stark, the whole system is 'pure fiction'. The problem is the monetary model itself. That is, the printing of paper currency without real backing and the multiplier by which the commercial banks can expand credit-uncontrolled without prior savings. Stark recommended allocating part of this fictional savings to investment in traditional 'safe havens' such as gold or silver." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingFormer ECB Chief Economist: Buy Gold; Economic System is ‘Pure Fiction’

Economy Tanks … and Stocks Soar?

"Negative 1 percent. That’s how much the U.S. economy managed to 'grow' in the first quarter, according to the government’s revised estimate. After more than $800 billion in stimulus spending from Washington. After more than $3 trillion of QE from the Federal Reserve. After six-plus years of record-low interest rates … record levels of monetary intervention in the U.K., Japan and Europe … and the biggest bailouts in the history of the world. It’s much worse than the 0.1 percent gain the Commerce Department originally reported. It was twice as bad as the 0.5 percent decline economists were expecting. And it’s the worst reading since the first quarter of 2011." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingEconomy Tanks … and Stocks Soar?

Bill Bonner: Why I Sued Washington 28 Years Ago

"When the Spanish conquered South America, their encomienda system of slavery typically required only 40 days of work from their victims. The French conquered Madagascar; they forced male Hovas between 16 and 60 to work 50 days a year. The US example is closer to that of Russia – where Emperor Paul I, in 1797, declared that three days a week was enough for serfs to give their lords and masters. That works out to nearly 150 days a year. A 50% tax rate – federal, state and local – is the equivalent of about 125 days of forced labor a year. Pretty steep. But that’s just the beginning. In our system of crony democracy, all the major industries have whips in their hands." Continue reading →

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Capital Controls Rolling Into High Gear Under FATCA

"It isn't just affecting the most financially restricted people on Earth: US citizens... it is affecting everyone. Take myself, for example. I operate numerous businesses worldwide. I am a Canadian citizen as well as the citizen of a Caribbean country and our business operations are also operated out of a non-tax jurisdiction in the Caribbean. On top of that we hold no bank accounts, whatsoever, in the US... instead, we have bank accounts all over the world. Yet, in the last two months we have had our accounts or transactions frozen, denied or questioned in different jurisdictions at least ten times. And we have had countless other problems over the last two years." Continue reading →

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Congrats grads! That’ll be $29,400

"The Class of 2012 graduated with an AVERAGE financial hangover of $29,400. In more expensive parts of the country like the Northeast, four-year degree students owed even more – almost $34,000. We’re not just talking about a handful of students, either. More than 7 in 10 graduates had at least some debt when they got their degrees. The growth in debt is far outpacing the growth in income, too, rising at a rate of about 6 percent per year over the past half-decade. All told, student loan debt now totals around $1.1 TRILLION. That’s almost quadruple the level of a decade earlier. It’s now the single biggest category of consumer debt outside of home mortgages." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingCongrats grads! That’ll be $29,400