Austerity

IMF finds $11 billion ‘black hole’ in Greece’s finances

"The International Monetary Fund warned the eurozone yesterday that it may be forced to write off a chunk of Greece’s debt after identifying an $11bn black hole in the finances of the recession-stricken country. In its regular update on the programme of financial austerity and structural change agreed to by Athens in return for financial help, the Washington-based IMF said weak growth and a sluggish pace of reform had opened up a funding gap in both 2014 and 2015." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingIMF finds $11 billion ‘black hole’ in Greece’s finances

Europe’s ‘recovery’ is a conjuring trick

"Stock market indices in Portugal, France and Spain are up by about 30 per cent. That’s pretty impressive for economies running on empty but is completely outshone by Greece, where the main index is now 64 per cent higher than in June 2012. There’s a temptation to look at the direction of travel and conclude that, even for the eurozone’s weaklings, the point of maximum danger is history. This is what EU leaders and the European Central Bank would like us to believe. At the core of this 'recovery' is a bluff that has yet to be called. In August last year, the European Central Bank’s president, Mario Draghi, promised to do 'whatever it takes' to defend the euro." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingEurope’s ‘recovery’ is a conjuring trick

IMF approves 1.7 bn euro loan payout to Greece

"The International Monetary Fund released 1.72 billion euros ($2.29 billion) in aid for Greece on Monday after completing a review of the country's performance under the international rescue program. The latest disbursement means that Greece has received a total of roughly 8.24 billion euros ($10.94 billion) from the IMF under the bailout coordinated with the European Union and the European Central Bank in March 2012. Greece was first bailed out for 110 billion euros in 2010 but when that failed, got a second rescue worth 130 billion euros plus a private sector debt write-off totaling more than 100 billion euros." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingIMF approves 1.7 bn euro loan payout to Greece

Ageing population pushes welfare bill to crisis point

"In a report released tonight, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development said that the proportion of GDP spent on jobseekers’ allowance, pensions and other 'public social spending' stood at 23.8 per cent — the same as it was in 2010. The Paris-based think tank warned that unless action was taken to cut the cost to the state of Britain’s rapidly rising elderly population, the health and pensions systems could collapse. Ddespite broadly positive signs, economic activity is still well below the level enjoyed before the financial crisis and Britain faces years of austerity and uncertainty." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingAgeing population pushes welfare bill to crisis point

Basta ‘La Casta’: No End in Sight to Italy’s Economic Decline

"Italy, despite being the third-largest economy in the euro zone after Germany and France, finds itself in dire straits, having been in decline for years. Its GDP has dropped by 7 percent since 2007. But economic growth only tells part of the story. More than half a million industrial jobs have been lost since 2007, and 15 percent of the country's industrial capacity is gone, says Luca Paolazzi, head of research for Confindustria, Italy's leading industry association. Paolazzi, Italy is experiencing an 'unprecedented process of deindustrialization.' According to Confindustria, the Italian economy faces a tax burden that is 20 percent higher than in Germany." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBasta ‘La Casta’: No End in Sight to Italy’s Economic Decline

Spanish Pension Raids Spell Bad News for Bond Sales

"Spain’s Treasury may find one of its best customers less eager to buy its bonds as budget woes lead Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy to raid a government piggy-bank for a second year. Created in 2000 to guarantee pension payments in times of hardship, the 59.3 billion-euro ($78 billion) Fondo de Reserva was tapped for the first time in December for 7 billion euros to fund Christmas bonuses and a monthly increase for retirees. Further withdrawals will have taken an additional 4.5 billion euros by the end of this month, helping to pay for pensioners’ summer bonuses and tax refunds." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingSpanish Pension Raids Spell Bad News for Bond Sales

One-Third Of Europe’s Unemployed Are Spanish

"Spain has been in recession for seven quarters in a row and survey indicators suggest it will extend to eight. House prices continue to collapse. Government revenue to GDP is among the worst in the union. But unemployment is where Spain has its peers beat - at 6.2 million unemployed, Spain accounts for almost one-third of the entire unemployed population of Europe. With expectations that the unemployment rate will break above 28% next year and a government embroiled in scandal, Rajoy's planned address to discuss the politicial and economic situation to his nation in August may just be the catalyst for the social unrest that has laid relatively dormant for so long." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingOne-Third Of Europe’s Unemployed Are Spanish

Europe Continues to Circle the Drain

"Where is the austerity? The cuts Keynesians are complaining about are mere reductions in increase. 'Despite austerity rhetoric,' wrote Frank Karsten, 'government debts keep rising in most democratic countries. ‘Austerity’ is a code word for ‘spending less than we had wanted, but more than in the past.’ In the end, they wind up raising taxes, rather than lowering expenditures to cut deficits.' As we reported last week, central banks around the world continue to cut their euro holdings for the third straight year. The Old World’s scrip now accounts for only 23.3% of foreign reserve holdings. If central banks are wary of euros… you should be as well." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingEurope Continues to Circle the Drain

Europe Continues to Circle the Drain

"Where is the austerity? The cuts Keynesians are complaining about are mere reductions in increase. 'Despite austerity rhetoric,' wrote Frank Karsten, 'government debts keep rising in most democratic countries. ‘Austerity’ is a code word for ‘spending less than we had wanted, but more than in the past.’ In the end, they wind up raising taxes, rather than lowering expenditures to cut deficits.' As we reported last week, central banks around the world continue to cut their euro holdings for the third straight year. The Old World’s scrip now accounts for only 23.3% of foreign reserve holdings. If central banks are wary of euros… you should be as well." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingEurope Continues to Circle the Drain

Greece May Need Billions More in Emergency EU Aid

"The Greek recovery may be facing yet another hurdle. According to German daily Süddeutsche Zeitung, the beleaguered country needs another massive influx of money if it is to avoid insolvency. The paper cites an unnamed official at the European Commission as saying that the "financial gap" could be as large as €10 billion. The news comes at a difficult time for Greece and its relations with Germany. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble is highly unpopular in Greece for his consistent insistence on austerity. And with German elections looming in September, it seems unlikely that additional aid money for Athens will be forthcoming anytime soon." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingGreece May Need Billions More in Emergency EU Aid