Currency Wars

Indian gold smugglers take body route to outwit customs

"Smugglers and couriers who bring gold into the country illegally, have usually been known to bring the commodity by hiding it outside their body through various means. But with air intelligence units of the customs wising up to myriad modes of concealment, smugglers have resorted to reshaping gold to get it through. In Monday’s incident two men who arrived from Sri Lanka at the airport had shaped crude gold bits to fit inside the base of their mouth under the tongue. In another incident, a buxom lady was arrested after sleuths found that her bosom appeared extra-large as she had sewn 4 kg of shaped gold into her brassiere." Continue reading →

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Is Japan’s Devaluation an Attack on China?

"In an article yesterday we suggested that the reason Japan was embarking on a massive attempt at Keynesian-style stimulation was to promote the efficacy of Keynesian economic 'cures.' But there is another possibility as well. Perhaps the idea is to start a currency war aimed at least in part at China. Japan is a longtime ally of the US, which defeated it in World War II. It is certainly possible that Japan has allied itself with the US to serve Anglo-American interests in this regard. It is indeed possible to hypothesize that Japan's current policy is intended to confront China and therefore is being used as a monetary 'weapon of war.'" Continue reading →

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Kyle Bass Warns: “The ‘AIG’ Of The World Is Back”

"His single best investment idea for the next ten years is, 'Sell JPY, Buy Gold, and go to sleep,' as he warns of the current situation in markets, 'we are right back there! The brevity of financial memory is about two years.' The main thrust of the discussion is Bass' thesis on Japan's pending collapse - which we wrote in detail on here, here, and here - and while the details of this thesis should prepare most for the worst, it is the Q&A that provides some very clear insights into just what is going on in the world." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingKyle Bass Warns: “The ‘AIG’ Of The World Is Back”

Riot Alert: Look Out Argentina, South Africa, Turkey and India

"If history teaches us anything, it is that inflation usually ends in violence. The Johannesburg-based economic research house ETM Analytics (www.etmstrategy.com), which has a strong Austrian bias, puts out a monthly 'riot alert' based on the speed with which countries are debasing their currencies. It has been scarily accurate in predicting where trouble is most likely to erupt. For all the press acreage given to the political causes of violence in countries like Syria and Egypt, it is difficult to side-step the obvious common denominator: inflation. A 10% rise in food prices can transform a hungry man into an angry man." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingRiot Alert: Look Out Argentina, South Africa, Turkey and India

ECB Should Join ‘Currency War’ to Weaken Euro, France’s Montebourg Says

"The European Central Bank should weaken the euro, confronting the new 'currency war' head on to help address economic stagnation in the region, French Industry Minister Arnaud Montebourg said today. Calling for a more activist and 'political' management of the currency shared by 17 European nations, Montebourg said at a press conference in Paris that he wants 'the European Central Bank to do its job.' 'The euro is too strong and doesn’t correspond to economic fundamentals,' he said. The ECB 'should prepare to confront a new currency war in which the weakening of currencies becomes a political tool.'" Continue reading →

Continue ReadingECB Should Join ‘Currency War’ to Weaken Euro, France’s Montebourg Says

Doug Casey on G20 Economic Suicide

"The result is that you don't just get one currency devaluing, but all currencies devaluing against real assets, commodities, goods, and services. I do believe that within the foreseeable future all these paper currencies are going to be devalued to zero – in other words, they will reach their actual intrinsic values. This is extremely serious, because the productive people of the world – the ones who actually consume less than they produce and save the difference, which is what all economic growth and progress depends upon – will be wiped out. When their savings vanish, it's going to create a social and political earthquake right off the Richter scale." Continue reading →

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New Zealand signals readiness to join currency wars

"New Zealand’s central bank governor was ready to intervene in foreign exchange markets, he said yesterday, the latest in a string of countries from South Korea to Brazil warning their currencies were too strong even as Group of 20 (G20) nations pledged to refrain from competitive devaluation. Policymakers in South Korea and the Philippines are weighing curbs to capital inflows while Norway’s central bank said it was ready to cut interest rates to counter the krone’s strength. 'There seems to be a sense that the gloves are off in terms of central bank action in currency markets,' said Mitul Kotecha, global head of foreign exchange strategy at Credit Agricole." Continue reading →

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Norway Ready to Use Rate Cuts to Weaken Krone, Central Bank Says

"Policy makers around the world are discussing how to respond to a re-emergence of so-called currency wars as finance ministers from the Group of 20 gather in Moscow. Norway’s central bank governor has shown before he’s willing to deploy rates to cap excessive krone gains, cutting the benchmark by 0.75 percentage point in two moves starting in December 2011. Olsen and his colleagues are torn between protecting exporters through lower rates that stem krone gains, and a policy that addresses an overheated property market." Continue reading →

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The World Goes to Monetary War

"What does it all mean? Essentially that, just as in the 1930s during the Great Depression, everybody is in open protectionist confrontation against everybody else. Back then the 'beggar-thy-neighbor' policies started with the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930. This time responsibility for triggering the devaluation race in the developed world is more widespread but the objective is similar to that of tariff policy in the 1930s." Continue reading →

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British pound strikes seven-month lows amid calls for further weakness

"Sterling's slide came as Martin Weale, a senior Bank of England policymaker, said on Saturday that the pound may need to weaken further, which would help to make exports cheaper and spur growth. 'It may be that high levels of uncertainty and a reluctance to take on new risks have stood in the way of exporters seeking new markets and domestic producers doing what is needed to displace imports,' Mr Weale said in a speech. 'Provided the calmer atmosphere we have seen since the summer is sustained, we may see further benefits of the depreciation.'" Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBritish pound strikes seven-month lows amid calls for further weakness