investment

Where’d All the Fear Go?

"There are periods when a given market pegs so far to one extreme or the other that it becomes hard to ignore. Such is the case with the market that measures fear – known by stock investors the world over as 'VIX.' VIX is telling us that fear – at least as it relates to stock prices – is dirt cheap. With what we know about markets and human nature, we do not expect fear to remain cheap forever. VIX is the symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index. It measures the volatility embedded into options traded on the S&P 500 (SPX) and reflects investors' 30-day consensus view of the future." Continue reading →

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Is This the Best Time for Investors? Don’t Bet On It.

"The stock market is expecting a massive new economic boom, with accelerating growth, widening prosperity and expanding profit margins. Meanwhile, the bond market sees the economy remaining in a funk, with slow growth, widespread unemployment and low inflation. Obviously, they can't both be right. Ominously, though, they could both be wrong. For the first time in 50 years, U.S. investors in a balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds face the near-certainty that they will lose money on a large chunk of their investments, after accounting for inflation—and a significant risk that they will lose money on all of them." Continue reading →

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Invest Like a Euro Zone Refugee

"The world is now witnessing a new refugee movement … but it’s not happening where you might think. These new refugees are not fleeing a war-torn province, or trying to escape from under the boot of a tyrant. They don’t need government aid. And they aren’t physically leaving their homes… Rather, these refugees are Italians, and they are fleeing their banks and their economy. Valter Badariotti, a banker with two small children, is one of the euro zone refugees. So is filmmaker Franco Fracassi. Both are worried about Italy’s economic deterioration and political morass. Sound familiar? It should … because it’s not far from what’s happening in the U.S." Continue reading →

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Yes, Soros Sold Off Gold (But Then Bought Gold Miners)

"The mood on metals has soured and thus one is left with two options: Expect more of the same as gold pursues another leg down or fight the trend, presumably under an assumption that it has run its course. Soros seems to have made up his mind. And in doing so has surprised us. With Soros it's probably a case of watching what he does, not what he says – as the article points out, he loves to mislead the public by giving voice to one opinion while investing in an entirely different way. Also, Soros is about as big an insider as there is. If anyone understands the near-term future of metals prices it might be him. What exactly does he know?" Continue reading →

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Marc Faber Buying Gold, But Won’t Keep It In America

"Marc Faber, publisher of The Gloom, Boom and Doom report, told Talking Numbers that he is buying physical gold and will buy more if it hits the $1,300 mark. But, he said that he isn't keeping it in the U.S. 'I bought gold at $1,400, I buy every month some gold, and I have an order to buy more at $1,300 because I want to keep an allocation towards gold – physical gold – and not stored in the United States at all times.'" Continue reading →

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CME Halted Silver Trading 4 Times Sunday as Prices Slid 9%

"Exchange operator CME Group Inc. (CME) said it halted silver trading four times Sunday evening due to highly volatile markets, a spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires. The trading halts came as silver futures slumped 9.4% to a low of $20.250 a troy ounce in the first few minutes following the open of electronic trading on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Silver trading was stopped for two 20 second intervals at 6:07 p.m. EDT and 6:09 p.m. EDT, and two consecutive 20 second halts at 6:09 p.m. and 6:10 p.m., the spokesman said. CME Group owns and operates both the Nymex and the Comex exchanges." Continue reading →

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Hong Kong Mercantile Exchange closes its doors; investors compensated in cash

"HKMEx chairman Barry Cheung Chun-yuen told the Sunday Morning Post that the decision to surrender the trading licence and not reopen for business tomorrow would have no impact on investors and that client contracts would be honoured. 'There is no question of not getting your money back or anything like that. People absolutely do not have to worry about that and I don't think they are. The only thing they will want to know is what settlement price will be used,' Cheung said." Continue reading →

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It’s Not Pretty: The EuroZone Economies

"The EuroZone is in the down phase of the business cycle and government regulations make it difficult for startups in most EZ countries to launch, regulations in most EZ countries also make it risky for established firms to hire. Further, unemployment packages make it attractive for most to stay unemployed once they are laid off. Thus you have economies that look like this. Unlike the European Central Bank, which has been doing only very modest money printing, the Fed has been flooding the markets, which has caused, yet another manipulated boom in the housing sector and stock market, that will, soon enough, experience another bust." Continue reading →

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The Top 3 Things I Learned at the Bitcoin Conference

"This past weekend I attended the Bitcoin 2013 conference in San Jose, where over one thousand enthusiasts, developers, entrepreneurs, venture capitalists, and, yes, lawyers gathered to chart the future of the virtual currency. Bitcoin to date has been the domain of geeks, gold bugs, and cypherpunks, but sensing its disruptive (and profitable) potential, entrepreneurs and venture capitalists are pouring into the space. This transition from ideological enclave to professionalized financial network was on display at the conference’s exhibit hall." Continue reading →

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