investment

Bill Bonner: Is It Time To Sell Your Gold?

"There is no reason to think that the basic relationship between the Dow stocks and gold has been altered in any fundamental or everlasting way. For practically the entire 19th century... many years of the 20th century... and as recently as the 1980s, the ratio of the Dow to gold was 1 to 5 or less. Investors paid 5 ounces of gold to buy the Dow and its earnings. Will the Dow once again trade for 5 ounces of gold or less? Almost certainly. And it will probably happen before this historic drop in the Dow/gold ratio has reached its final bottom." Continue reading →

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Could a Government Cash Grab Happen Here?

"With $6.8 trillion on deposit in U.S. banks, do you think that our current federal government, the one so adept at manufacturing repeated crises, would hesitate for one moment before dipping into the private accounts of depositors if a U.S. bankruptcy were imminent? Well, with massive amounts of federal spending on tap that cannot be supported by current tax rates, it’s not exactly a stretch to think that a solvency crisis is headed our way … with the grabbing hands of the U.S. government reaching for the assets of hard-working Americans to bail it out." Continue reading →

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Cyprus, The First Domino?

"For the investor, if he has been preparing himself carefully for the events that will unfold in the next few years, Cyprus will have been an event that did not impact him at all. This sounds like economic heresy, because the very idea that banks would systematically and intentionally steal the money of its depositors is a major, major event. Yes, it is quite definitely a major event, but one that should not have impacted the seasoned investor, as it is an event that is a mere comma in his overall outlook – it is an event that was anticipated." Continue reading →

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The Financial Situation in Cyprus and the End of the Euro

"There are several lessons to be learned here: 1. Politicians lie. Only a few weeks ago, politicians in Cyprus promised that deposits in local banks would be backed 100% and that euro-zone taxpayers would finance any bailout. Obviously, that turned out not to be true. 2. The swift win the race. Those depositors who got their funds out of Cyprus banks before the bailout get to keep 100% of their capital. Those who delayed face losses up to 60%. 3. Cash is king. While the value of the euro has slumped in recent weeks, anyone with euros in cash form, rather than in an account, is far better off than with euros in a bank account. [..]" Continue reading →

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“3% Down” Mortgages: They’re Back!

"With the Federal Reserve System buying half a trillion dollars worth of Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac IOUs a year, the mortgage market is flooded with newly created money. Lenders are now offering 3% down payment mortgages. Why, it’s 2006, back from the grave. There is a problem here: the number of mortgage applications has remained flat for three years. So, the recovery is nowhere near a bubble. Not enough people can qualify for loans. The rates are great, but only if you qualify. The time to buy an income-producing rental home is sooner rather than later. But don’t pay retail. Shop." Continue reading →

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QE 3 Moves to Japan

"The Bank of Japan has announced a quantitative easing (mass inflation) QE program that matches Bernanke’s: $75 billion a month in purchases of Japanese government bonds. This is just under $1 trillion a year. But Japan’s GDP is only $6 trillion — 40% the United States’ GDP. This is way beyond Bernanke. For the Bank of Japan, this is QE1. But it is QE3 in the United States. It’s the same policy. The government of Japan has always been Keynesian. Now it has adopted desperation Keynesianism: just like the United States and the eurozone." Continue reading →

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What Can We Learn by Comparing the Employment Situation in Texas vs. California?

"One of the great things about federalism, above and beyond the fact that it both constrains the power of governments and is faithful to the Constitution, is that is turns every state into an experiment. We can learn what works best (though the President seems incapable of learning the right lesson). We know, for instance, that people are leaving high-tax states and migrating to low-tax states. We also know that low-tax states grow faster and create more jobs. I particularly enjoy comparisons between Texas and California. The Lone Star State is kicking the you-know-what out of the Golden State in terms of overall economic performance." Continue reading →

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Retroactive California tax terrifies tech

"Entrepreneurs and investors in California can expect to receive a rude shock in the mail if they sold their company in the last four years. Not only did the state's Franchise Tax Board (FTB) eliminate a tax break on capital gains for small business owners and investors, it announced the tax would be reinstated retroactively. This means those who benefitted from the break can expect a bill for unpaid taxes, plus interest, stretching all the way back to 2008. Now, not only will stockholders have to pay the full tax rate on capital gains, which has risen to about 13%, but they'll also be billed retroactively for 50% of the taxes they excluded." Continue reading →

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State-Wrecked: The Corruption of Capitalism in America – David Stockman

"As the federal government and its central-bank sidekick, the Fed, have groped for one goal after another — smoothing out the business cycle, minimizing inflation and unemployment at the same time, rolling out a giant social insurance blanket, promoting homeownership, subsidizing medical care, propping up old industries (agriculture, automobiles) and fostering new ones ('clean' energy, biotechnology) and, above all, bailing out Wall Street — they have now succumbed to overload, overreach and outside capture by powerful interests. The modern Keynesian state is broke, paralyzed and mired in empty ritual incantations about stimulating 'demand.'" Continue reading →

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Isaac Newton’s Nightmare — Charted By Marc Faber

"The parabolic move in Bitcoin prices has us thinking about some of the most notorious asset bubbles in history. We were thumbing through some of Jeremy Grantham's old research and saw this great chart from Marc Faber. 'I can calculate the movement of stars, but not the madness of men,' Newton apparently said after he lost his fortune." Continue reading →

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