Bill Bonner: Is QE Broken?

"Forget about tapering off. Instead, think of tapering on. How about this as a possibility? With no more ginned-up earnings from ultra-low interest expenses… no boost to top-line revenues from rising consumer spending… and no pricing power – corporate America’s earnings begin to fall. QE or no QE, stock prices fall. The Fed panics. It will be confronted with dropping asset prices and disinflationary (possibly deflationary) consumer prices. It will have to find a way to modify QE so that it does put dollars directly into the economy. Second, this new push – if it comes – may well send stocks soaring again. There’s nothing like free money to make investors happy. Third, the entire project is doomed." Continue reading

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JPMorgan’s $13B Penalty Helps IRS Deal A Huge Blow to Homeowners

"Here’s an illustrative example. Say an individual Detroit homeowner earning $40,000 a year gets a principal reduction of $100,000, roughly the average principal reduction in the National Mortgage Settlement, a previous deal that offered consumer mortgage relief as part of a penalty for bank misdeeds. In the tax year 2014, that homeowner would record an income of $140,000, and their resulting tax bill, according to this calculator, would be $29,693, or nearly three-quarters of the homeowner’s annual income. Homeowners struggling to stay in their homes typically do not carry large amounts of cash reserves to pay off tax bills; they wouldn’t be desperate for mortgage debt relief if they did." Continue reading

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ObamaLoans Up by Almost 3 to 1

"The official goal of the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act was to make college more affordable. How? By making loans to students. The effect has been to lure millions of students into long-term debt for the purchase of liberal arts degrees that do not lead to high-income jobs. ObamaLoans took loan-making decisions away from banks and placed this into the hands of federal employees at the Department of Education — bureaucrats with job tenure. The amount of student debt owed to the U.S. government in 2009 was $120 billion. Today, it is $675 billion. In July 2010, ObamaCare was passed. That’s when the loans began to multiply." Continue reading

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Inflation Has Not Cured Iceland’s Economic Woes

"Both countries still have problems. Iceland’s monetary controls are notably stifling needed investment, while Ireland is left with a large debt from bailing out its banks, and this is stalling growth. One thing is clear though — the effects of monetary policy are stark and the proclaimed benefits of Iceland’s inflationary policy were counteracted by the price inflation that ensued. Don’t let a good crisis go to waste; learn something from it. As the tale of these two countries demonstrates, inflating one’s currency may give the appearance of recovery, but the truth is somewhat less rosy." Continue reading

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IMF Happy Talk Cannot Obscure Japan’s Reality

"Printing a lot of money is really helping the Japanese economy, according to the International Monetary Fund. In fact, according to the IMF, there's plenty of room to do more if need be. This is part of a larger trend we've been observing of late. Whether it is Janet Yellen in the US or Mark Carney in England or the ECB or the BOJ itself, aggressive money printing is becoming a signature calling card. So what is all this money printing accomplishing? Well ... from our point of view, it's nothing more or less than a promotional exercise. It's clear to us. We couldn't figure it out at first but now we can. They're printing because there's nothing else to do." Continue reading

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A Confiscation Tax is Headed Your Way …

"Scariest of all in the IMF’s assessment is the phrase: 'If it is implemented before avoidance is possible.' The IMF reflexively recognizes that the medicine it prescribes will not go down without force, and that those of us who can will rapidly seek ways to keep the government’s greedy paws away from our personal wealth. To counter that, the IMF implicitly advocates a blitzkrieg approach to governmental thievery. Imagine waking up some random Monday to find that the federal government has imposed a week-long 'bank holiday' that limits your access to your own money to maybe $200 a day through an ATM, and that the government is imposing a new 'wealth tax'. Can’t happen here in America?" Continue reading

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What the Fed Can Learn From the McDonald’s Dollar Menu

"We live in parallel universes. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is said to have a healthy concern about deflation. McDonald’s franchisees, on the other hand, not so much. The chain of Golden Arches fame will give up its Dollar Menu after 11 years, renaming it 'The Dollar Menu & More' next month. It turns out you simply can’t make a buck selling burgers for a buck. It must be hard to give up on such an amazing marketing gimmick, generating one-seventh of all sales since its inception. If Ben Bernanke is paying attention, he is no doubt thrilled to hear about rising price pressures." Continue reading

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Paul Craig Roberts: As Ye Sow, So Shall Ye Reap

"Influenced by neoconservative warmongers who advocated America using its 'sole superpower' status to establish hegemony over the world, Washington let hubris and arrogance run away with it. The consequence was that Washington destroyed its soft power with lies and war crimes, only to find that its military power was insufficient to support its occupation of Iraq, its conquest of Afghanistan, and its financial imperialism. Now seen universally as a lawless warmonger and a nuisance, Washington’s soft power has been squandered. With its influence on the wane, Washington has become more of a bully. In response, the rest of the world is isolating Washington." Continue reading

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In Fed and Out, Many Now Think Inflation Helps

"Some economists say more inflation is just what the American economy needs to escape from a half-decade of sluggish growth and high unemployment. Economists, including Janet Yellen, President Obama’s nominee to lead the Fed starting next year, have long argued that a little inflation is particularly valuable when the economy is weak. The school board in Anchorage, Alaska, for example, is counting on inflation to keep a lid on teachers’ wages. Retailers including Costco and Walmart are hoping for higher inflation to increase profits. The federal government expects inflation to ease the burden of its debts. Yet by one measure, inflation rose at an annual pace of 1.2 percent in August." Continue reading

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Let Our Debt Scrub Our Brains

"A majority of Americans with 401(k)-type savings accounts are accumulating debt faster than they are setting aside money for retirement, further undermining the nation's troubled system for old-age saving, a new report has found. Three in five workers with defined contribution accounts are 'debt savers,' according to the report released Thursday, meaning their increasing mortgages, credit card balances and installment loans are outpacing the amount of money they are able to save for retirement." Continue reading

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