Bill Bonner: The Real Numbers Behind America’s Phony Recovery

"What kind of economy is it that reduces a man’s wages over a 43-year period? We don’t know. But it’s not likely to win any prizes. But why, with so many strikes against it, does the US economy still have the bat in its hands? It’s partly because the Fed has pumped up stock, bond and house prices – not to mention net corporate profit margins and consumer spending . So, the averages look pretty good… and they mask the ugliness beneath them. The bottom 90% of the population – people in 9 houses out of 10 – have 10% less income than they had 10 years ago. This is not a success story. It’s a disaster. And not one that tempts us into an overvalued US stock market." Continue reading

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The Biggest Interest-Rate Turn in 37 Years

"We witnessed the power of bond market vigilantes in 1980, at a time when most of them were in the United States. Now it’s much worse because so many are overseas. We witnessed their power again in 1994, at a time when there was virtually no inflation scare. Now, it’s worse because all the Fed’s money printing is spooking investors about future inflation. We also saw their power repeatedly in 2011 and 2012, when they dumped the bonds of Greece, Spain and Italy. Now it’s worse because, unlike the situation in Europe, there’s no country or union in the world big enough to bail out America. In one sense, nothing has changed since Carter’s day of reckoning on April 15, 1980." Continue reading

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Money for Nothing: Inside the Federal Reserve (2013)

"Nearly 100 years after its creation, the power of the U.S. Federal Reserve has never been greater. Markets and governments around the world hold their breath in anticipation of the Fed Chairman's every word. Yet the average person knows very little about the most powerful - and least understood - financial institution on earth. Money For Nothing is the first film to take viewers inside the Fed and reveal the impact of Fed policies - past, present, and future - on our lives. Join current and former Fed officials as they debate the critics, and each other, about the decisions that helped lead the global financial system to the brink of collapse in 2008. And why we might be headed there again." Continue reading

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How the Paper Money Experiment Will End

"We are now in a situation that looks like a dead end for the paper money system. After the last cycle, governments have bailed out malinvestments in the private sector and boosted their public welfare spending. Deficits and debts skyrocketed. Central banks printed money to buy public debts (or accept them as collateral in loans to the banking system) in unprecedented amounts. Will money printing be a constant with interest rates close to zero until people lose their confidence in the paper currencies? Can the paper money system be maintained or will we necessarily get a hyperinflation sooner or later? There are at least seven possibilities." Continue reading

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New Barbados currency ‘more secure’ [May 2013]

"Producers of fake Barbados money should not be smiling all the way to the bank anytime soon. On the heels of what it said was 'an increase in counterfeit activity in 2012', the Central Bank of Barbados has unveiled the island’s first new banknotes in 40 years. Central Bank of Barbados officials and representatives from British-based currency printer De La Rue officially introduced the new notes this morning at the Grande Salle, Tom Adams Financial Centre, saying they carried advanced security features within a modern design that was in the making for the last three years." Continue reading

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Barbados PM: Central bank ‘indulgence’ a threat to economic stability

"Former Barbados prime minister Owen Arthur said that the Central Bank had printed BDS$370 million to purchase Government Treasury Bills, which had caused the country’s foreign exchange reserves to plunge. 'The printing of money on this scale to accommodate government’s fiscal deficit is the chief factor that has triggered the dramatic plunge downward in the country’s foreign exchange reserves. If this plunge downward is not immediately checked, the economic affairs of Barbados will enter a new and very dangerous territory,' he warned, reminding of the economic and social problems of Guyana and Jamaica as a result of excessive increases in money supply and inflation." Continue reading

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Fed to Explode QE Next Downturn – Can’t Control Velocity

"'What's going to happen the next time there's an economic downturn? They're going to double, triple, quadruple (QE). Instead of making 85 billion per month, they're going to be making 850 billion per month. It'll go up TEN times.'" Continue reading

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Investors, Run for Cover From the Incoming ‘Taper Bomb’

"The bond market sell-off is leaving fixed-income investors (at least, those who didn’t heed my advice to get out of the way) with the worst annual losses on bonds since 1999. It also proves beyond the shadow of a doubt that the bond market is more powerful than the Fed. Now, against that backdrop, the Fed is about to hold its last policy meeting of 2013. On Dec. 17 and 18, policymakers will gather around a conference table in Washington and decide whether to continue their $85 billion-per-month QE program. My prediction? They drop a taper bomb and start dialing down those purchases, probably by at least $10 billion." Continue reading

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The Dialectical Pomposity of the Tapering Promotion

"We might taper, he tells us, if the economy seems strong. We might not if the economy seems less strong. Maybe we will, maybe we won't. And to ascertain the strength of the economy, Bullard and his noobs will parse notoriously unreliable government data. They will make decisions on how much money to print at what price. This is price fixing and price fixing never works. They will use the loony-tune statistics provided to them by the US government. Good luck. They will make determinations about the level of the price fix they shall levy based on these flawed numbers. This is YOUR economy. This is YOUR money." Continue reading

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