regime uncertainty

Gold price falls to five-year low on US rate rise talk

"The gold price has fallen to its lowest level in more than five years as talk of a US interest rate rise has led investors to sell the precious metal. Gold closed 2.5% lower at $1,104.60 an ounce in London, having earlier fallen below $1,100 an ounce for the first time since March 2010. The gold price is now more than 40% below its August 2011 peak. The stronger US economy has led investors to expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year. The expectations have led investors to gradually sell gold - a perceived safe haven investment in times of crisis - to invest elsewhere. Other commodities have also fallen, with the price of platinum down 5% - its weakest level since the crisis." Continue reading →

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Capital Controls and a Bank Holiday in Greece

"When you hear a central banker or politician deny that something is going to happen to bank depositors, you can almost be certain that it will happen. And probably soon. There’s a reason for the dishonesty. The government needs to take the public by surprise. Otherwise they won’t get the results they want from capital controls or a bank holiday. Calling the experience a bank holiday is like calling a street mugging a surprise party. Once the banks are closed - or on 'holiday,' as the government puts it - the politicians are free to help themselves to as much of the customer deposits (including yours) as they want. It’s like an all-you-can-steal buffet." Continue reading →

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China: Risks … and Opportunities

"The meltdown in Chinese stocks presents both risk of contagion for global stocks, including our markets, and a great buying opportunity in the making for global-oriented investors. China’s mainland Shanghai Index soared 150% higher in just 12 months through mid-June. These eye-popping gains were fueled in large part by a massive expansion in margin lending, most of it off-the-books. A few weeks ago, officials in Beijing believed stocks could be getting overheated and decided to crack down on margin trading. Since then, Shanghai shares have plunged about 30% and have been down 13 straight days." Continue reading →

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Read more about the article China Lets Banks Roll Over Loans Backed by Pledges of Shares

China Lets Banks Roll Over Loans Backed by Pledges of Shares

"China will let banks roll over loans backed by shares and adjust their collateral requirements as the government tries to limit pressure for investors to sell stock and contain risks to the financial system from a market rout. The China Banking Regulatory Commission also wants lenders to support firms’ share buybacks by offering collateralized loans, the agency said in a statement on Thursday. One of the side-effects of the share market’s collapse from a June 12 peak was to diminish the value of shares pledged as collateral for loans from banks and brokerages. In China, a borrower pledging blue-chip shares can usually get a loan of as much as 50 percent of their value." Continue reading →

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China bans major shareholders from selling for next six months

"China’s securities regulator took the drastic step of banning shareholders with stakes of more than 5% from selling shares for the next six months in a bid to halt a plunge in stock prices that is starting to roil global financial markets. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) said on its website late on Wednesday that it would deal severely with any shareholders who violated the rule. The prohibition is also seen applying to foreign investors who hold stakes in Shanghai- or Shenzhen-listed companies, although most of their holdings are below 5%. More than 500 China-listed companies announced trading halts on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges on Wednesday." Continue reading →

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Central Bank Lies & Consequences

"We now have two examples in three years of a major central bank simply walking away from its supposedly most fundamental obligation. The lies upon which fractional reserve banking exists are beginning to catch up to it. Citizens everywhere in the Eurozone now have good reason to wonder if their banks will be next. After Cyprus and Greece, why should anyone believe anything the ECB says? If the ECB is willing to shut banks in a crisis, what assurance do we have that the Bank of England, Federal Reserve or the Bank of Japan won't do the same? Answer: None. Today's highly leveraged banks can fail very fast, stretching the capacity of even the strongest central banks." Continue reading →

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China Bans Margin Calls; Limits Pension Funds To Buying Stocks Only

"What do you do when two policy rate cuts, $19 billion in committed support from a hastily contrived broker consortium, and a promise of central bank funding for the expansion of margin lending all fail to quell extreme volatility in a collapsing equity market? Well, you can simply ban selling, which is apparently the next step for China. According to Caijing, the country's national social security fund is now forbidden from selling (but is welcome to buy). The pension selling ban comes just days after China moved to curtail margin calls in a similary ridiculous attempt to stop the bleeding by simply making selling against the rules." Continue reading →

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China’s brokers pledge to buy stocks to prop shaky markets

"China’s top securities brokerages said on Saturday that they would collectively buy at least 120 billion yuan ($19.3 billion) of shares in a bid to stabilize the country’s stock markets after a slump of nearly 30% since mid-June. The pledge follows near-daily official policy moves over the past week, including an interest rate cut and a relaxation of margin lending rules, that have so far failed to arrest the sell-off, which some market watchers fear could turn into a full-blown crash. While brokerages were likely to focus on stronger, blue-chip companies, Hao said there would be little interest in saving small and wildly overvalued 'growth' firms. Such companies are favored by ordinary investors." Continue reading →

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The $4 Trillion Money Printing Press

"One pandemic, two great depressions, 11 major wars, and 44 recessions. Four U.S. presidents were assassinated while in office. Hundreds of thousands of businesses went bankrupt; tens of millions of Americans lost their jobs. Did the U.S. government respond to many of these events with countermeasures? Of course. But never once had the U.S. government resorted to such extreme abuses of its money-printing power as it did in 2008-10. Now, all that tradition of leadership and discipline was abandoned — all for the sake of perpetuating America’s addiction to spending, borrowing, and speculative bubbles." Continue reading →

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Greece Closes Banks and Stock Markets, Introduces Capital Controls

"The banks in Greece and the Athens Stock Exchange will remain closed until at least July 6, the day after the referendum on the austerity measures demanded by the country’s creditors. In the meantime, cash withdrawals at ATMs will be limited to 60 euros ($66) and transfers abroad will be forbidden. Greece is the second Eurozone country, after Cyprus in 2013, to impose capital controls. The move is evidently aimed at preventing panicked Greek investors and savers from taking their money out of the nation’s banks and moving it elsewhere. In the days before the predictable stall of the negotiations with Europe, many Greeks rushed to withdraw their money." Continue reading →

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