White Shoe Boys

Bill Bonner: Is QE Broken?

"Forget about tapering off. Instead, think of tapering on. How about this as a possibility? With no more ginned-up earnings from ultra-low interest expenses… no boost to top-line revenues from rising consumer spending… and no pricing power – corporate America’s earnings begin to fall. QE or no QE, stock prices fall. The Fed panics. It will be confronted with dropping asset prices and disinflationary (possibly deflationary) consumer prices. It will have to find a way to modify QE so that it does put dollars directly into the economy. Second, this new push – if it comes – may well send stocks soaring again. There’s nothing like free money to make investors happy. Third, the entire project is doomed." Continue reading →

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U.S. Deal With JPMorgan Followed a Crucial Call To Justice Department

"On Sept. 24, four hours before the Justice Department was planning to hold a news conference to announce civil charges against the bank over its sale of troubled mortgage investments, Mr. Dimon personally called one of Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr.’s top lieutenants to reopen settlement talks, people briefed on the talks said. The rare outreach from a Wall Street C.E.O. scuttled the news conference and set in motion weeks of negotiations that have culminated in a tentative $13 billion deal. An account of the negotiations pulls back a curtain on the private wrangling to illuminate how the bank and the government managed to negotiate what would be a record deal." Continue reading →

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Lonely Jeremiahs

"Like last time, it’s only now — after the first cracks in the market have begun to show themselves — that other prominent experts are joining his camp. Eight years ago, the epicenter of the bust was the American home market. Now, it’s every bond market on the planet. And ultimately, bonds are more vital and pivotal in the global economy than homes. Why? Because a global bond-price collapse automatically comes with a global interest-rate surge; and sharply higher interest rates directly impact every consumer, every corporation or every government that borrows money. How prominent are the voices now joining Larson’s once-lonely chorus? Judge for yourself." Continue reading →

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How to Make $15.6 Million, Risk-Free

"You can buy CDSs without owning the underlying bond, which is essentially a speculation that McDonald's will default on that bond. Unless, of course, you have influence over the fast-food giant's management. Then it's not a speculation at all. It's a can't-lose trade. That's what Blackstone did. It took out an insurance policy on Codere, persuaded it to default, then collected $15.6 million in payouts. There was never a chance Blackstone would lose money on this arrangement. It was literally a risk-free trade." Continue reading →

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War in Washington: Two Shocking Forecasts

"The bond investor rebellion we’re forecasting is not unprecedented. It has happened before — in 1980, under the Carter administration. Back then, the federal budget deficit was huge, although not nearly as large as today’s. Consumer inflation was taking off due to years of aggressive easy money by the Fed, although not nearly as aggressive as the Fed’s massive money printing and bond buying of the past five years. There was fear of a hotter cold war, although not nearly as intense as today’s fears. In response, bond buyers went on strike. It was virtually impossible for the United States government to sell its bonds at virtually any price. My forecast was — and is — that this will happen again." Continue reading →

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Catherine Austin Fitts: Moral Investing and the Coming Equity ‘Crash-Up’

"Take a look at different predictions that gold is going to increase significantly in value. All those predictions assume that the monetary inflation is going to spill into commodities. And what you're watching instead is the G-7 have been essentially building a corral that forces the horses to run out through the stock market. That's why I call it a crash-up. I think one scenario we're looking at is the possibility of a crash-up scenario where that monetary increase is funneled into the equity markets. One of the most important questions there is, can you get the global population interested in investing in equities? Because the long bond market bull is coming to a close." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingCatherine Austin Fitts: Moral Investing and the Coming Equity ‘Crash-Up’

Art Cashin: Danger For The US & Strange Happenings In Gold

"While I am far from being a conspiracy theorist, I could see where some of the people involved in that asset class would be concerned because we’ve had several incidences of very large sales. And they all seem to come at approximately the same time in the relatively early morning in New York, usually before the stock market has opened. The question there is, why would you suddenly dump a large amount of gold? Why wouldn’t you try to piecemeal it out over the (course of the) day? So, if that happens once it could be an accident of technology, or it could be a simple error. But when it happens 5 times over a period of months, it does raise questions." Continue reading →

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David Stockman Explains The Keynesian State-Wreck Ahead

"'What has been growing is the wealth of the rich, the remit of the state, the girth of Wall Street, the debt burden of the people, the prosperity of the beltway and the sway of the three great branches of government - that is, the warfare state, the welfare state and the central bank... What is flailing is the vast expanse of the Main Street economy where the great majority have experienced stagnant living standards, rising job insecurity, failure to accumulate material savings, rapidly approach old age and the certainty of a Hobbesian future where, inexorably, taxes will rise and social benefits will be cut...' He calls this condition 'Sundown in America'." Continue reading →

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QE3 is a Huge Subsidy to the Top 10%.

"The Federal Reserve System’s policy known widely as QE3 is a massive subsidy of the rich at the expense of the middle class. This is the conclusion of Stephen Roach, who for years was chief economist for Morgan Stanley. He calls this policy destabilizing. He says this: the FED 'is courting an increasingly treacherous endgame at home and abroad.' The FED’s creation of $85 billion of counterfeit money — euphemistically called 'liquidity' — is based on a theory. The theory is that rich people, who buy most of the stocks and bonds, will feel wealthier, and therefore will buy more stocks and bonds. In short, QE3 is an indirect way to goose the equity markets." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingQE3 is a Huge Subsidy to the Top 10%.