White Shoe Boys

The American Economy is Not a Free-Market Economy

"Those inclined to dismiss Lewis’s claim as exaggerated must confront the solid body of evidence he amasses. Everyone knows that governmentally-sponsored mortgages helped to fuel the housing bubble that burst in 2008 with disastrous consequences. As Lewis points out, though, the situation is much worse than most people imagined. 'By the end of 2007 government-sponsored mortgages accounted for 81% of all the mortgage loans made in the US and by 2010 this had risen to 100%.' Government dominance is of course bad for the economy, but it works to the benefit of a small group of the powerful. A great strength of the book is that Lewis names names: he tells us who the predators are." Continue reading →

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“The Fed Made It Possible For Many People To Leak It”

"Zero Hedge is publishing information from a tipster who explained how easy it was to get information into traders about the Fed monetary policy statement before it was officially released. This really sounds very similar to what happened at the BLS in the old days (the 1980s). I outlined how that went down, here. We are talking about big time money here, people made millions on the leaked information. They will also be tough to catch, especially if they used throw away phones. If no direct connection can be made between a leaker and a trader, then all a trader has to do is stick to his story that he bought on some kind of technical trading activity and who will be able to prove otherwise?" Continue reading →

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The Big-Picture Economy, Part 3: Scarcity, Risk and Debt

"Scarcity of credit is the source of sound risk assessment and the discipline of aligning interest rates to risk and inflation. Manipulating rates to near-zero and opening the credit floodgates has incentivized everything sound economic policy avoids: moral hazard, speculation, leverage and reliance on marginal credit expansion for profits and 'growth.' 'Growth' that depends on manipulated interest rates and easy credit is a sand castle awaiting the rising tide; its destruction is assured." Continue reading →

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Some traders got Fed ‘no taper’ decision news early

"The Federal Reserve says it is contacting news organizations to discuss the rules surrounding lock up procedures and the release of market moving information from the Federal Reserve's headquarters in Washington. But the leading expert on millisecond level trading says he is focusing his attention on a certain type of news organization – those that offer so-called 'low latency' services to feed market moving data at high speeds directly into computerized trading systems. A key question is whether or not any organization transmitted information out of the lockup room and into its own computer system before 2 p.m." Continue reading →

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Subprime lending execs back in business five years after crash

"Five years after the financial crisis crested with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., top executives from the biggest subprime lenders are back in the game. Many are developing new loans that target borrowers with low credit scores and small down payments, pushing the limits of tighter lending standards that have prevailed since the crisis. Some experts fear they won’t know where to stop. The Center for Public Integrity in 2009 identified the top 25 lenders by subprime loan production from 2005 through 2007. Today, senior executives from all 25 of those companies or companies that they swallowed up before the crash are back in the mortgage business." Continue reading →

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Debt: Still Cheap, and Getting Looser

"The industry is clearly rebounding. Guy Cecala, publisher of the trade magazine Inside Mortgage Finance, says, 'You're going to see a little more risk coming into the system' as lenders permit smaller down payments and finance more investment properties. 'Five years down the road and we're back in the thick of it again. It's a weird place to be,' says Cliff Rossi, who was a high-level risk management executive at Countrywide, Washington Mutual, and Freddie Mac before the crisis. 'In that intervening 20 years, we forgot what we learned in the '80s,' he says. 'I fear right now, human nature being what it is, that downstream we could find ourselves in the same situation.'" Continue reading →

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The Taper Caper

"Under normal conditions, you'd be smart to assume that the Fed won't taper until unemployment falls below 7% and inflation rises above 2%. But there's a curveball: Bernanke will almost certainly step down as head of the Fed in January 2014. Rumors say that he wants to begin tapering before he leaves, for obvious reasons. Such action would increase the odds of history viewing him favorably. If Bernanke tapers, he can take credit for putting the US on a responsible path before handing the reins over to the next guy or gal. Whatever happens after that is Janet Yellen's problem (or whoever-replaces-Bernanke's problem)." Continue reading →

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Gold Declines Trigger Brief Trading Halt

"Exchange operator CME Group Inc. said it briefly halted gold trading on Thursday morning to prevent excessive price volatility. Stop Logic, a type of circuit breaker that pauses trading for between five and 20 seconds, was triggered in the December-delivery gold futures contract at 2:54 a.m. EDT and lasted for 20 seconds, the spokesman said. A set of automatic sell orders were triggered as futures neared $1,350 an ounce early in European trading hours, said George Gero, a vice president and precious metals strategist with RBC Capital Markets, in a note. The sales sent gold prices as much as $10 an ounce lower in the space of a minute, triggering the trading pause." Continue reading →

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American Banksterism Through the Ages

"The Bank of the United States 'ran into grave difficulties through mismanagement, speculation, and fraud.' -- James J. Kilpatrick, The Sovereign States; '[Henry Clay's] income from this business [general counsel to the Bank of the United States] apparently amounted to what he needed: three thousand dollars a year from the bank as chief counsel; more for appearing in specific cases; and a sizable amount of real estate in Ohio and Kentucky in addition to the cash . . . . When he resigned to become Secretary of State in 1825, he was pleased with his compensation.' --Maurice Baxter, Henry Clay and the American System" Continue reading →

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David Stockman on his Book and the Bailouts

"The panic and bailouts that followed were really about protecting the bonuses and incomes of very wealthy and politically well-connected managers at banks and other heavily leveraged businesses that were eventually deemed too big to fail. What followed was a massive transfer of wealth from the taxpayers and middle-class savers, in the form of bailouts and zero interest rates on bank deposits imposed by the Fed, to the so-called One Percent. As I show in my book, none of this was necessary to save the larger economy, since the losses that would have taken place as a result of the collapse would have been largely limited to Wall Street." Continue reading →

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