Yearly Archives: 2013

The Magic of Monetary Figures

"Hitting our magic number was a fantastic milestone for us. All the 60-80 hour work weeks, tosses and turns in the middle of the night, and struggles to keep our financial house in order had finally paid off. We would never have to worry about money again. We were home free… or so we thought. Now, twenty years later, our account balance is many times higher than our original magic number. We have come to grips with the fact that our magic number was aptly named. We had forgotten what magic really is: an illusion. In reality, our magic number was nothing more than ink on a sheet of paper that made us believe something that was not true." Continue reading →

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Why Are Your Children Buying Houses for Ben Bernanke?

"The Fed sells all those bonds to investors – who will, of course, want their money back, with interest. So, where will the money for paying off those bonds come from? From taxes, of course. When a government sells a bond, they are selling a right to their tax receipts. And that means your kids will be taxed to pay it all off. The Fed will keep the houses, of course, but hidden behind paragraphs of confusing financial and accounting terminology. Home ownership in America is falling off a cliff, as you can see in this graph. So, Mr. and Ms. America, get ready to meet your new landlords: Benny and the Banks." Continue reading →

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Janet Yellen: “A Wise and Humane Policy Is Occasionally to Let Inflation Rise”

"Yellen comes out of the economic school of thought that holds the view that printing money can somehow boost the economy. In essence, she holds the thought that the economy can somehow at times get stuck, that prices at such time don't adjust to supply and demand and that thus money needs to be printed by the Fed via Wall Street cronies to distort prices via monetary and price inflation and fool the public into doing transactions they wouldn't do without the distortions. This is what is held these days as 'utterly unquestioned credentials.'" Continue reading →

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Credit Outbids Cash = Resource Wars

"Trader 1 only has cash that has been earned and saved; Trader 2 has access to leveraged credit (i.e. borrowing $100 based on $10 of cash collateral) and Trader 3 has a printing press that creates cash currency. As a result, Traders 2 and 3 could buy a lot more real-world goods at the fair than Trader 1, enabling the two traders with essentially unlimited credit/cash to reap enormous profits on carry-trades and other speculative trading. Not only can trader 2 and 3 purchase more goods than trader 1. Trader 2 and 3 have no limit on what they can bid and therefore can price trader 1 out of the market completely." Continue reading →

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Peter Schiff: The Half Full Economy

"The most recent GDP release from Washington has caused many to double down on their belief that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering Quantitative Easing sometime later this year. While I believe that is a fantasy given our economy's extreme dependence on QE, market observers should have learned long ago that the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) initial GDP estimates can't be trusted. A perusal of their subsequent GDP revisions in the last five years reveals a clear trend: They are almost twice as likely to revise initial estimates down rather than up, and the downward adjustments have been much larger on average." Continue reading →

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Real Personal Income Points to Recession

"If real (that is, adjusted for loss of purchasing power a.k.a. inflation) income is declining, households have less income to spend and less income to leverage more debt. There are two noteworthy points in this chart. One is that real personal income has been negative for the past five years, with one tax-related spike in late 2012 as those who could do so reported income in 2012 rather than 2013 to take advantage of the lower tax rates that expired in 2012. The second point is that every time the black line (the 6-month annualized rate of change) of real personal income fell below 0% (that is, went negative), a recession occurred." Continue reading →

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Why “Tapering” Will Not Go Smoothly — and What That Means for Bonds and Stocks

"If you buy the party line that Wall Street and the Federal Reserve is pushing, the process of 'tapering' back on Quantitative Easing (QE) will be relatively painless. All the Fed has to do is gradually, slowly, predictably, and gently ease back on its bond purchases and, they say, it will have minimal market impact. My take? Fuhgeddaboudit … it will be anything but smooth. And this week, I’ll use the Fed’s own comments — and a shocking Fed chart — to show you why." Continue reading →

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‘Eminent Domain for the People’ Leaves Wall Street Furious

"Richmond became the first California city last week to move forward on a plan that has been floated by other California municipalities to ask big bank lenders to sell underwater mortgage loans at a discount to the city (if the owner consents), and seize those homes through eminent domain if the banks refuse. The city has committed to refinancing these homes for owners at their current value, not what is owed. City officials launched this process by sending letters in late July to 32 banks and other mortgage owners offering to buy 624 underwater mortgages at the price the homes are worth, not what the owners owe." Continue reading →

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