Near the Debt Ceiling, No One Can Hear You Scream

"Let’s put these clues together. We have another fiscal crisis imminent with a looming debt ceiling drama. We have a Federal Reserve that is already doing a huge and unsustainable amount of 'stimulus' buying. And we have an economy far weaker than it’s been in more than a decade despite the bluster over GDP. The bigger concern is that the market doesn’t have any of this priced in at all. It’s true that August was the worst month for stocks since May 2012. Yet the market fell just 3.1% and is only 4.5% off its all-time high. That’s barely a scratch." Continue reading

Continue ReadingNear the Debt Ceiling, No One Can Hear You Scream

If You Want To Know Why Things Are Falling Apart, Look at Total Debt

"It's easy to confuse trends and cycles. The Keynesian Cargo Cultists believe that we're in a cyclical downturn that can be 'cured' with more debt-based spending, i.e. worshiping their false god of aggregate demand. They cannot comprehend that we're not in a business-cycle recession, we are in a long-term trend where additional debt undermines the system as the positive returns on that debt turn negative." Continue reading

Continue ReadingIf You Want To Know Why Things Are Falling Apart, Look at Total Debt

Hopeless Savers: 0.26% on Money Markets

"The plight of savers in America is hopeless. We know that price inflation is over 2% per year. What do investors get in a money market fund? A pathetic 0.26%. Then they pay income taxes on this 0.26%. What if they do not want to tie up their money for a year? Then they get 0.12%. Before taxes. What about interest-bearing checking accounts in an FDIC-insured bank? These pay 0.05%. Let’s be honest. Let’s round it off (after taxes) to zero. The saver is falling behind. The rate of price inflation is eating into the saver’s net worth by at least 2.9% per year. How much money is deposited in money market accounts. About $2.6 trillion. This is up by $2.6 billion this week. This is a recovery?" Continue reading

Continue ReadingHopeless Savers: 0.26% on Money Markets

Investors (Suckers) Say They Have Things Under Control

"Today, 56% say they are confident about the future. This means that 44% aren’t confident. Today, 42% say they have increased their tax-deferred retirement savings. This means that 58% haven’t. Today, 55% say they are better prepared for retirement than in 2007. This means that 45% don’t think they are. Today, 42% have increased the size of their emergency fund. This means that 58% haven’t. We are asked to believe that people’s personal savings rate is up since November 2007, the month before the recession is said to have begun. Yes, it is — by a percentage so tiny that it is barely visible." Continue reading

Continue ReadingInvestors (Suckers) Say They Have Things Under Control

Maybe This Is Why We Now Have a Serial-Bubble Economy

"If there is any one strikingly obvious feature of the U.S. economy in the past 15 years, it's the serial asset bubbles, one after another. Take a look at this chart. Why did our economy become dependent on asset bubbles for 'growth'? One way to find an answer is to ask: cui bono, to whose benefit? Correspondent Jeff W. has the answer: the financial sector and the central government." Continue reading

Continue ReadingMaybe This Is Why We Now Have a Serial-Bubble Economy

Non-Traditional Retirements, or DIY Sabbaticals

"NPR Morning Edition featured a story today about non-traditional retirements: Seeing The (Northern) Light: A Temporary Arctic Retirement. Instead of waiting until 65, Winston Chen decided to stop working for an entire year mid-career and moved his family to a small Norwegian island in the Arctic Circle with only 180 residents. Our society seems to feel that education is for the young, work is for the middle-aged, and leisure is for the elderly. But what if you decided to snip 5 years from those retirement years and sprinkle them between your working years?" Continue reading

Continue ReadingNon-Traditional Retirements, or DIY Sabbaticals

Election won’t prevent pension crash

"The tax gap isn't the deepest divide in America. The deepest gap is the pension divide, between those few who have a guaranteed cushion in the form of defined-benefit pensions, which promise a fixed annuity at retirement, and those who don't. How the candidates address this divide, cultural as well as political, is crucial, far beyond November. To understand the current mindset, it helps to consider the pension culture of the past. In the early 1980s, many companies, as well as governments, offered employees a defined-pension benefit when they retired. Thirty years ago, about 62 percent of American workers were covered by some kind of plan like this." Continue reading

Continue ReadingElection won’t prevent pension crash

Retire at 65. Become a Ward of the State.

"PBS had a recent article about retirees who stay in the work force beyond age 65. It interviewed economists. What it did not do was provide statistics on how many Americans work until age 75. The answer is: hardly any. Most Americans do not have enough savings. They retire anyway. Most Americans believe in the tooth fairy: the federal government. They think the checks will keep coming. They will not budget. They will spend their $120,000 long before they die. Then what?" Continue reading

Continue ReadingRetire at 65. Become a Ward of the State.

‘A tide of squatters’ spreads in Spain in wake of foreclosures

"If the organization known as Okupatutambien, or 'Become a Squatter Too' has its way, the country will see a mass expropriation of abandoned or repossessed property to resolve the housing crisis. According to a 117-page “Squatters’ Guide” published on the Internet by the group, there are 3 million empty homes in Spain, or about 100 for each of the 30,000 homeless. The guide advises would-be squatters on how to stake out, enter and remain inside properties, leaving the rightful owner and authorities powerless to evict them. It also offers free counseling from an office in downtown Madrid on how to siphon water and electricity from municipal supplies and how to deal with law-enforcement officers." Continue reading

Continue Reading‘A tide of squatters’ spreads in Spain in wake of foreclosures