“Suddenly the ECB has made it clear that Italy’s gain in a ‘hypothetical’ Euro zone exit would be a tremendous loss for Berlin and Merkel. We are confident that the question of ‘how much’ preventing such a loss would be worth to Merkel, will emerge in very short order. As for what Draghi’s statement means for countries with a far smaller Target2 liability which may also consider exiting the monetary union, the answer is two words: ‘green light.’”
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