Bankocracy

Want to play the market? Count the Fed leak weeks

"U.S. central bankers not only regularly leak secret information about monetary policy, but the leaks are so predictably timed that a savvy investor without access to the leaked information could make money just by buying stocks in certain weeks. The weeks that have excess stock-market returns are generally the same in which there are closed Fed Board meetings, and increased volatility in short-term interest-rate futures contracts suggests that it is information on monetary policy from those meetings that is driving the pattern." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingWant to play the market? Count the Fed leak weeks

Drone Pilots Expose Civilian Murder, U.S. Freezes Their Financial Accounts

"The U.S. Government failed to deter them through threats of criminal prosecution, and clumsy attempts to intimidate their families. Now four former Air Force drone operators-turned-whistleblowers have had their credit cards and bank accounts frozen, according to human rights attorney Jesselyn Radack. Michael Haas, Brandon Bryant, Cian Westmoreland and Stephen Lewis, who served as drone operators in the US Air Force, have gone public with detailed accounts of the widespread corruption and institutionalized indifference to civilian casualties that characterize the program." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingDrone Pilots Expose Civilian Murder, U.S. Freezes Their Financial Accounts

Democrats Work To Block Regulations, After Flood Of Campaign Cash

"The Obama administration’s efforts to rein in Wall Street face opposition from members of the president’s own party. Since 2011, after Dodd-Frank became law, Democrats have raised over $330 million from the financial industry, and their party’s presumptive incoming Senate leader, New York's Chuck Schumer, is considered a close ally of the financial sector. As the year-end legislative wrangling intensifies, here are the other Democrats who have been Wall Street’s key allies in fighting the Obama administration. They have all raised big money from the financial industry." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingDemocrats Work To Block Regulations, After Flood Of Campaign Cash

The Feds Won’t Stop Terrorism This Way

"While the current rationale for encryption back doors is to fight terrorism, they wouldn’t be used just for that purpose. For proof, just look at the history of the PATRIOT Act. This law gives the US government unprecedented civil forfeiture authority over the US 'correspondent accounts' of any bank in the world. If an alleged terrorist or other criminal deposits money at the bank overseas, the PATRIOT Act allows the government to seize an equivalent sum of money in the correspondent account in the US. Proponents justified the law as a necessary escalation in the 'War on Terror.' But the very first time the government used its new civil forfeiture authority, it had nothing to do with terrorism." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingThe Feds Won’t Stop Terrorism This Way

John Hussman: Psychological Whiplash

"Investors who refused to take the speculative bait may have been the first casualties of the Fed’s policies. But now, it is investors who remain fully invested in obscenely overvalued equities and junk credit that have become the unwitting dupes in this game. If the Fed cannot force people to abandon saving behavior with zero interest rates, some members of the FOMC have openly talked about driving interest rates to negative rates to 'stimulate' spending. This is not economics, it is megalomaniacal sociopathy. Centuries of economic history warn that this speculative episode, too, will end in a collapse." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingJohn Hussman: Psychological Whiplash

Oligarchies Masquerading as Democracies

"The creation of the Federal Reserve System in 1913 was the re-establishment of the oligarchs' lender of last resort. That meant that the federal debt would become the foundation of the entire economy: debt purchased by the central bank to balloon the monetary base. To pay off the debt would create mass deflation and depression. The oligarchs now have immunity. Congress will not order an independent audit of the FED. The model is the Bank of England. It has been the chief insurance agency of the Anglo-American oligarchy ever since 1694. The 'Glorious Revolution' of 1688/89 was in fact the symbolic triumph of the oligarchs over the king." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingOligarchies Masquerading as Democracies

Yellen Says Negative Rates On The Table “If Outlook Worsened”

"As the market now diligently calculates the suddenly surging odds of a December rate hike, here's Yellen with a preview of what will happen once the rate hike cycle is aborted, just as it was aborted in Japan in August of 2000 when the BOJ also decided to send a signal how much stronger the economy is by hiking 25 bps, only to cut 7 months later and to proceed to monetize not only all net Japanese debt issuance a decade later, but to hold half of all equity ETFs. The good news: YELLEN SAYS SHE DOESN'T SEE NEED FOR NEGATIVE RATES NOW; YELLEN SAYS FED SEES ECONOMY ON STEADY PATH OF IMPROVEMENT; Because when have the Fed's forecasts before ever been wrong." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingYellen Says Negative Rates On The Table “If Outlook Worsened”

China Devaluation Is Blow to Cash-Strapped Argentina’s Reserves

"China’s devaluation couldn’t come at a worse time for Argentina. About a quarter of the country’s $33.7 billion of foreign reserves are now denominated in yuan, which suffered its biggest loss since 1994 on Tuesday. The move is eroding the cash Argentina uses to pay its debt and comes as the nation is effectively shut out of overseas bond markets and struggling to defend its slumping peso at home. The country’s yuan holdings have ballooned since it signed an $11 billion currency-swap agreement with the People’s Bank of China in July. In the unregulated market Argentines use to sidestep the government’s currency controls, the peso has sunk 12 percent in the past two months." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChina Devaluation Is Blow to Cash-Strapped Argentina’s Reserves

Chinese Brokers Now Selling Margin Loan-Backed Securities

"Now, the PBoC will look to supercharge efforts to re-engineer a stock market bubble via leverage by pushing brokerages to issue ABS backed by margin loans. If brokerages simply offload the margin loan risk to investors and use the proceeds to fund still more margin lending which can also be turned into still more ABS, and so on, then the effect will be to pile leverage on top of leverage. What happens in the event the underlying stocks become completely illiquid (i.e. Beijing decides to suspend trading on three quarters of the market again)? The punchline: the senior tranche (which accounts for CNY475 million of the total CNY500 million deal) is rated AAA." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChinese Brokers Now Selling Margin Loan-Backed Securities

China currency devaluation hits stocks; dollar gains on currency war fears

"China's 2 percent devaluation of the yuan on Tuesday pushed the U.S. dollar higher and hit Wall Street and other global equity markets as it raised fears of a new round of currency wars and fed worries about slowing Chinese economic growth. U.S. stock indices dropped more than 1 percent and stocks also fell in Asia and Europe as investors contemplated the implications of a move designed to support China's slowing economy and exports. Companies that sell to China were hit hard, with heavy equipment maker Caterpillar losing 3.13 percent and Germany's Volkswagen dropping 4 percent. Energy and materials shares also tumbled on China demand concerns." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingChina currency devaluation hits stocks; dollar gains on currency war fears