CLibertyC

Niall Ferguson: Networks and Hierarchies

"The near-autarkic, commanding and controlling states that emerged from the Depression, World War II, and the early Cold War exist only as pale shadows of their former selves. Today, the combination of technological innovation and international economic integration has created entirely new forms of organization—vast, privately owned networks—that were scarcely dreamt of by Keynes and Kennan. Are these new networks really emancipating us from the tyranny of the hierarchical empire-states? Or will the hierarchies ultimately take over the networks as they did a century ago, in 1914, successfully subordinating them to the priorities of the national security state?" Continue reading →

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Falling Real Yields: A Buy Signal for Gold

"It’s not only Treasury yields that are falling; nominal interest rates are in free-fall around the world: German bunds yield just 1.4 percent and French government bond yields fell to 1.65 percent — the lowest level since 1746! Two of Europe’s most troubled PIIGS, Spain and Italy, also have witnessed record low bond yields of 2.6 percent and 2.76 percent, respectively. Yield spreads on emerging market Tdebt and junk bonds compared with Treasuries are likewise sinking toward new lows. his compression in nominal yields around the global has important implications for investors and could prove very bullish for certain asset classes. Case in point: Gold." Continue reading →

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An Ever Deeper EU to Join the Wall Street Party?

"The central bankers have reason to inflate. The European experiment is precarious and economies around the world are teetering. Part of Mr. Andors's speech, no doubt, has to do with creating the possibility, rhetorically at least, that the EU, too, can join in the mass inflation building around the world. This no doubt seems the only way out for those who have engineered the current economic cul de sac. They will print and print until the danger is past and stock markets have traveled through the roof. Wealth is to be destroyed and pensioners bankrupted, but the system itself is to be perpetuated and expanded. It continues to be a cynical exercise in creating haves and have-nots." Continue reading →

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Bill Bonner: The Japanese Will Learn to Tango

"For nearly a quarter century, Japan’s diligent savers have funded its government deficits. Now, the savers are retiring. They need their money back. At the same time, Japan’s trade surplus is disappearing. Where will the money come to keep the lights on? Nowhere. Already, there are days when scarcely a single buyer steps up to buy Japanese bonds. The central bank of Japan takes up the slack. And as people get older (spending their savings rather than adding to them) and as the country’s current account surplus disappears (Japan is not the export powerhouse it once was), more slack appears. The Bank of Japan will come to the rescue, of course." Continue reading →

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Japan to keep printing money for years to come, so learn to enjoy it

"The authorities are about to funnel large sums into Japanese stocks openly and deliberately under the next phase of Abenomics, both by regulatory fiat and by purchasing the Nikkei index directly with printed money. Prime minister Shinzo Abe is unshackling the world's biggest stash of savings, the $1.3 trillion Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF). Officials say the ceiling on equity holdings will rise from 12pc to around 20pc as soon as August, opening the way for a $100bn buying blitz. Mr Abe's move comes sooner than expected and amounts to a market shock, though nobody should be shocked anymore as he keeps doubling down on the world's most radical economic experiment." Continue reading →

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Will SoFi Take Sallie Mae’s Best Customers?

"After the financial crisis proved the government would spend tens of trillions of dollars to keep banks from going belly up, you would think that nothing will kill them. But now the ineffable forces of Stanford-branded reinvention are going after their customers. Do investors in publicly traded lenders need to get out before it’s too late? A case in point is student lending giant, SLM – formed as the Student Loan Marketing Association — which is in the cross-hairs of a San Francisco-based peer-to-peer lending powerhouse, Social Finance, Inc. (SoFi). As CEO Mike Cagney, a graduate of Stanford Business School, explained, SoFi is growing fast." Continue reading →

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Fed Prepares to Maintain Record Balance Sheet for Years

"Federal Reserve officials, concerned that selling bonds from their $4.3 trillion portfolio could crush the U.S. recovery, are preparing to keep their balance sheet close to record levels for years. Central bankers are stepping back from a three-year-old strategy for an exit from the unprecedented easing they deployed to battle the worst recession since the Great Depression. The Fed is testing new tools that would allow it to keep a large balance sheet even after it raises short-term interest rates, a step policy makers anticipate taking next year. They would use these tools to drain excess reserves temporarily from the banking system." Continue reading →

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Another NSA Court Decision Makes Mockery of the 4th Amendment

The federal government has once again failed to appropriately regulate its own behavior, with an Idaho federal judge ruling in favor of the constitutionality of the NSA’s spying program. According to a report from the Idaho Spokesman, U.S. District Judge Lynn Winmill, in his eight-page decision issued [on June 3], found that under current U.S.…

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A Response on the Scope of the Treatymaking Power

Co-blogger Mike Rappaport, following Justice Thomas’ concurrence in Bond v. United States, argues that as a matter of original meaning the U.S. government’s treatymaking power is limited to “international matters.” I agree, to this extent:  A treaty must cover subjects that are genuinely of concern to the parties to the treaty.  There cannot be sham treaties designed only…

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**Follow-Up** Legislature Adjourns Without Tax Increase!!

“The ultimate arbiter is the people of the Union.”  Thomas Jefferson letter to William Johnson — 1823   Despite the best efforts, arm twisting, promises and amendment upon amendment) of Gov. Snyder, Senate majority leader Randy Richardville (term limited) and Speaker of the House Jase Bolger (term limited) to put lipstick on a pig the …

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