Economics

Was Keynes a Brilliant Investor?

"Keynes' initial foray into investing led to a smash up. He lost everything he had unwisely borrowed and had to be bailed out by his parents. He did not do well in the 1920′s. He was taken unawares by the the 1929 Crash and also by the 1937 rout. In both instances, he came perilously close to being wiped out again because of very concentrated holdings and continuing use of leverage. In short, Keynes was a speculator, at the same time that he criticized speculators and the 'casino' atmosphere of the market. The article does disclose Keynes’s very large gold mining stock position in the 1930′s but fails to note the irony of this holding or his private praise of gold as a portfolio diversifier." Continue reading →

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Bernanke Textbook Royalties

"The textbook business can be very very lucrative. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is co-author (from before he was in government) of 'Principles of Economics' and 'Principles of Macroeconomics' (written with Robert Frank, published by McGraw-Hill) and 'Macroeconomics' (with Andrew B. Abel and Dean Croushore, from Pearson). It appears that the McGraw-Hill books are more lucrative, generating $100,000 to $1 million in income for the chairman, who also made $50,000 to $100,000 from Pearson." Continue reading →

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Immense, Needless Human Misery Caused by Speculative Credit Bubbles

"Speculative bubbles based solely on cash have very short lifespans, as the bubble bursts violently as soon as the gamblers' cash has been sucked into the vortex. Truly devastating speculative bubbles require a vast expansion of credit and the corruption of the political class that feeds off the state. As Credit is ultimately managed by the state, central banks and the banking cartel, no speculative credit bubble can arise without the complicity and collaboration of all three. The destructive incentives, corruption and erosion of productive investment are masked by the rapidly rising phantom wealth created by the bubble in real estate and stocks." Continue reading →

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The Danger of an All-Powerful Federal Reserve

"How will home builders react if the Fed decides their investments are bubbly and restricts their credit? How will bankers who followed all the rules feel when the Fed decrees their actions a 'systemic' threat? How will financial entrepreneurs in the shadow banking system, peer-to-peer lending innovators, etc., feel when the Fed quashes their efforts to compete with banks? Will not all of these people call their lobbyists, congressmen and administration contacts, and demand change? Will not people who profit from Fed interventions do the same? Willy-nilly financial dirigisme will inevitably lead to politicization, cronyism, a sclerotic, uncompetitive financial system and political oversight." Continue reading →

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The Technical Bankruptcy of the Government Is Kicked Out Another Six Weeks

"The U.S. government's debt has been locked in at this implausible limit for three months: $16,699,396,000,000. The Secretary of the Treasury says that it will not hit the ceiling until mid-October. This warning is silly. The U.S. government has obviously been over the limit ever since late May. The world knows this. There is no way that the debt simply stopped growing. There is no good reason why the government cannot report this same figure from now on. If the government can legally cook the books from May 17 until today, and promises to cook them until mid-October, and no one in Congress asks how, then why not for two more months, two more years, or forever?" Continue reading →

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Even Eurocrats Realize that Taxes Can Be Too High

"Tax increases imposed by the Socialist-led government in France have reached a 'fatal level', the EU's commissioner for economic affairs said today. Olli Rehn warned that a series of tax hikes since the Socialists took power 14 months ago – including €33bn in new taxes this year – threatens to 'destroy growth and handicap the creation of jobs'. President Hollande has kept his electoral promise to attack French deficits and accumulated debt. He has done so, however, almost entirely by tax increases rather than by cuts in a state apparatus which swallows 56.6 per cent of the country’s GDP. It has emerged that final budget plans for 2014 will include at least €6bn in tax rises." Continue reading →

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France: A Proud Nation Ponders How to Halt Its Slow Decline

"Can the Socialist government of President François Hollande pull France out of its slow decline and prevent it from slipping permanently into Europe’s second tier? At stake is whether a social democratic system that for decades prided itself on being the model for providing a stable and high standard of living for its citizens can survive the combination of globalization, an aging population and the acute fiscal shocks of recent years. Changing any country is difficult. But the challenge in France seems especially hard, in part because of the nation’s amour-propre and self-image as a European leader and global power." Continue reading →

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Watch Ron Paul Crush It On His New TV Channel

"As he celebrates his 78th birthday, with a string of ongoing and upcoming projects, Paul’s 'retirement' is looking more and more like a full-time job. While congressional service may have provided the initial platform, Paul is now freed from the hyena’s den, and his work outside of politics will prove to have a real lasting impact on public debate and on spreading an intellectual revolution. Last week, Paul debuted his internet media outlet. The Ron Paul Channel is branded as an alternative to the corporate media, allowing viewers to watch his talk show-style program online, 'When they want, where they want, and on the device they want: internet-connected televisions, computers, tablets, and smart phones.'" Continue reading →

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