"So does this mean we should buy now? To be sure, book values fall when precious metals prices decline, and costs have risen substantially since 2001 as well. So it's possible values could fall further. But in that scenario the relationship between stock prices and book value would remain in rarified territory, making the anomaly even more appealing to a contrarian investor." Continue reading →
"The first slide, which is based on research from the Boston Consulting Group, looks at which jurisdictions have the most households with more than $1 million of wealth. Switzerland is the easy winner, and you probably won’t be surprised to see Hong Kong and Singapore also do very well. Gee, I wonder if the fact that Switzerland (#4), Hong Kong (#1), and Singapore (#2) score highly on the Economic Freedom of the World index has any connection with their comparative prosperity? The most impressive part of this data is the way Switzerland has maintained a much smaller burden of government spending [compared to the Eurozone]." Continue reading →
"Robert Higgs has another must read in his 'Etceteras … Real Gross Domestic Private Product, 2000-2012' in the most recent Independent Review. He provides good arguments on why government product should be (and perhaps almost was) excluded from income and product accounts. He then builds a measure of Real Gross Domestic Private Product for the Bush-Obama years. Based on his calculations, he states, 'Perhaps the most positive statement we can make about the private economy’s performance during this thirteen-year period is that it has been somewhat better than complete stagnation.'" Continue reading →
"Every one of these implicit assumptions has been turned on its head: growth is barely above the rate of inflation; by some measures, it has already fallen below the real rate of inflation. Debt is increasing much faster than income or wealth. Virtually all of the recent expansion of wealth/income is flowing to the top 10%. This is why the status quo is doomed: there is no Plan B or even conceptual alternative to the 'more growth forever' agenda. The oft-touted fantasy is that 'we're going to grow our way out of this,' but it is abundantly clear that debt is rising far faster than growth or incomes." Continue reading →
". . . says Thomas Mayer, a former IMF economist and former Chief Economist of Deutsche Bank Group and Head of DB Research, and now a Deutcshe Bank Senior Advisor. Mayer goes on to cite Austrian monetary and business-cycle theorist Jesus Huerta de Soto on the causal connection between fractional reserves and banking crises throughout history. He points out: 'Since there is no single state in the eurozone able to bail out banks in a systemic crisis, a banking regime without state backing is needed.' He concludes his letter with a four-step plan for 'comprehensive' banking reform that would implement just such a regime." Continue reading →
"It seems that Monaco’s fiscal policy is good for the local soccer team. But it seems there’s a controversy in this fiscal paradise. Or, to be more accurate, there’s a controversy in the tax hell next door. The French are complaining that lower tax rates are an 'unfair' form of tax competition. So how did the French react? By engaging in their true national sport – imposing higher taxes. Naturally, their 'solution' is to impose higher taxes in Monaco, not to lower taxes in France. It’s also worth noting that the French approach won’t work. The French soccer league will continue to lose top players so long as the government has a 75% tax system." Continue reading →
"President Francois Hollande has already angered much of his own Socialist base with plans to cut spending next year in absolute terms for the first time since 1958, but this may be just start of the battle. The Cour des Comptes said France is not even 'halfway' through its fiscal squeeze. The warnings came as a blizzard of grim news dashed hopes for a rapid recovery from two years of slump. A recent study by Pew Foundation said French support for the European Project has crashed from 60pc to 40pc over the past year. Just 22pc now think EU economic integration is positive." Continue reading →
"Big business, big labor, and big government are getting together and considering a €100 billion slush fund that will line their pockets. They want us to believe this will lead to more jobs for young people, but they overlook (and hope we’re unaware of) Bastiat’s warning about the seen and the unseen. Expanding the EIB will simply divert resources from more productive uses. So what’s the answer? Here’s what I recommended as part of some speeches earlier this month in Europe. I began with what should be a common-sense observation that businesses won’t create jobs unless they think new workers will add to the bottom line." Continue reading →
"Since the great recession, the labor market has become an especially difficult place for recent college graduates. The unemployment rate for 22-year-olds jumped from 4.5% in 2000 — at the tail end of a historic technology boom — to 10.3% in the 2009 — 2011 period, according to a presentation Thursday by researchers at the New York Fed. Possibly more concerning is the spike in underemployment among younger workers. Those are recent graduates who have jobs that don’t require a degree, such as a salesperson in a retail store, a food server or even an electrician. In 2001 the underemployment rate fell to as low at 35%, but last year it rose to 44%." Continue reading →
"The IRS has no authority to go after someone’s assets or wages in order to collect the penalty. It only has the authority to deduct the penalty from a person’s tax refund at year’s end. People will figure out how to fix that problem by trying to ensure they have only enough withheld to meet their tax obligation. Those who are uninsured and successful at hitting the tax mark will face no effective penalty. There are policies available now that would work very well for the ObamaCare avoiders. Some of these policies are built on a life insurance platform rather than health insurance — which, incidentally, means they are outside ObamaCare’s regulatory control." Continue reading →