Bill Bonner: Promises Will Be Broken

"Growth rates began to decline at least 40 years ago. Today's rates are not extraordinarily low. And nobody really knows why this is happening. A steadily declining GDP growth rate seems to defy our assumptions about the way the world works. This discussion might be merely inconsequential; instead, the future of the United States of America, Europe, Japan and the entire world economy hangs on it. Growth − more GDP... more jobs... more revenue... more people − is also what every government in the developed world desperately needs. Without it, their deficit spending (all are running in the red) leads to growing debt and eventual disaster." Continue reading

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Doug Casey on the Fiscal Cliff

"Stimulated, or let's say 'simulated' – signs of recovery aren't needed if people have savings, accumulated capital, that can be deployed. Instead, today they mostly have debt. Government stimulation won't work if capital doesn't exist or is punished for being used. If you've destroyed people's jobs, taxed them more for investing wisely, piled on so many regulations that you can't sell lemonade without decades of permitting and clinical trials, all the stimulus in the world won't create a vibrant economy." Continue reading

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Fitch expects ‘Bond Bubble’ carnage when rate cycle turns

"Yields on 10-year US corporate bonds have fallen to the lowest levels in history as a result of central bank liquidity, halving from 4pc to well under 2pc since early 2011. Fitch said a 'sudden rise' would devastate the portofolios of life insurers, pension funds, and other fixed-income institutions. 'If interest rates were to revert rapidly, a typical BBB-rated US corporate bond could lose 15pc of its market value, with longer duration bonds suffering a 26pc loss,' it said. Fitch said the authorities face an ugly dilemma. If they persist with ultra-loose policies, they will push investors deeper into 'low-coupon securities' that are most vulnerable to rising yields." Continue reading

Continue ReadingFitch expects ‘Bond Bubble’ carnage when rate cycle turns

Central bankers rethink their devotion to slaying inflation

"A subtle shift in monetary policymaking is afoot with a new generation of central bankers, striving to secure global economic recovery, prepared to challenge the old doctrine of inflation-fighting at all costs. Policymakers from the U.S. Federal Reserve to the Bank of Japan have reconsidered or relaxed their inflation targets and have given more emphasis to economic growth. With the financial crisis having starkly exposed central banks' failure to stave off danger, and policymakers having responded by flooding world markets with trillions of dollars in cheap funding, a small run-up in inflation may no longer be the anathema it once was." Continue reading

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Going for gold? Don’t forget the vault

"Investors in Asia are increasingly dealing with a seemingly anachronistic problem: finding a place to stash their bars of gold. Gold is a popular choice for those seeking to diversify their holdings and spread risk but it isn't the most mobile of assets. Still, gold has been moving east, and that has created opportunities for security companies in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Shanghai -- financial hubs where the metal's popularity is soaring. Security companies are busy ordering two-ton steel doors and sophisticated monitoring systems, and hiring more armed guards as they expand their high-security vault capacity in Asia." Continue reading

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Robert Parker’s wine ‘bible’ moving to Singapore

"Influential US wine critic Robert Parker is moving the headquarters of his newsletter to Singapore after selling a major stake to investors based in the city-state, a report said. Parker told the Wall Street Journal he intends to step down as editor-in-chief of The Wine Advocate and phase out its print edition, giving oversight to his Singapore-based Asia correspondent, Lisa Perrotti-Brown. 'The Asian market has come of age in the last decade or so, and it would be unrealistic not to expect to be part of it,' he said. He declined to name his new investors but described them as 'young visionaries' in financial services and information technology based in Singapore." Continue reading

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Now Obama wants your 401(k)

"Since 2010, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Department of Labor have been holding combined hearings on various plans designed to introduce government-mandated retirement plans and investment options, including government annuities invested primarily in U.S. Treasury debt, into the private retirement savings market. With the issuance of the White House 256-page Budget Proposal for Fiscal Year 2013, the Obama administration endorsed 'Automatic IRAs,' in which private companies would be automatically enrolled into government-mandated IRAs, forcing those businesses to contribute on behalf of their employees unless an employee opts out." Continue reading

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Chinese buyers lead foreign investment in US housing market

"Non-American buyers accounted for $82 billion in home sales last year. More than $7 billion of that is by the Chinese, who are now the second largest foreign home purchasers after Canadians. They're buying high-end, multimillion-dollar homes from California to New York and paying cash. While some of the Chinese buyers live in the U.S. full or part-time, realtors estimate about 40 percent of the homes are for investments. They're snapping up houses in states hit hard by foreclosures such as Nevada and Florida. Some are buying two or three homes at a time. Buyers from China also invested almost $2 billion in commercial property in 2011." Continue reading

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Asia, not North America, now has most millionaires

"Millionaire wealth in the United States and Canada in 2011 fell 2.3 percent to $11.4 trillion - still the wealthiest region by this measure - though it had 1.1 percent fewer millionaires, slipping by about 39,000 to a total of 3.35 million. Strong economic growth in China and other markets increased the ranks of millionaires across the Asia-Pacific region by 1.6 percent to a total of 3.37 million, as Asia vaulted past North America as home to the most millionaires." Continue reading

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How Congress Snuck in a 3.8% Tax Increase that Will Kick in on Jan. 1

"Scheduled to take effect on Jan. 1, the tax, which was adopted as part of the 2010 health-care law, is a 3.8 percent levy on interest, dividends, capital gains and passive business income received by taxpayers with incomes exceeding $200,000 (or $250,000 for couples). Because the new tax was added to the health-care law late in the process without congressional hearings, it received little attention at the time. With only a few weeks left before it takes effect, it remains largely unknown. One problem with the unearned income Medicare contribution tax is the name Congress chose for it, which is a triple misnomer." Continue reading

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