Investment/Trends

Chris Anderson: New Revolution “Bigger Than The Web”

"Chris Anderson is CEO of 3DRobotics and author of 'Makers: The New Industrial Revolution.' He was also a keynote speaker at our 2013 Investment Symposium in Vancouver last month. For the last several years, Anderson has played the dual role of entrepreneur and evangelist for the burgeoning 'maker’s movement.' You can watch him discuss his theories about the new industrial revolution afoot in the movement with Tom Standage of The Economist. Anderson noted the maker movement might have profound implications for human innovation—it might even be 'bigger than the web.'" Continue reading →

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These 12 technologies will drive our economic future

"Most of the writing you see about the economy speaks to narrow questions: What will growth be this year? When will the unemployment rate get back to normal? And so on. But the things that will determine standards of living a generation from now have almost nothing to do with this month’s jobs report or the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting. Those determinants, instead, depend on companies’ innovations — in particular, whether those innovations turn out to have major economic consequences. Researchers at the McKinsey Global Institute have a new study in which they have taken their best shot at predicting exactly that." Continue reading →

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Why Are So Many College Graduates Driving Taxis?

"In 1970, only 1 in 100 taxi drivers and chauffeurs in the U.S. had a college degree, according to an analysis of labor statistics by Ohio University’s Richard Vedder, Christopher Denhart and Jonathan Robe. Today, 15 of 100 do. Similarly, in 1970, only about 2 percent of firefighters had a college degree, compared with more than 15 percent now, Vedder and his colleagues found. And, according to research by economists Paul Harrington and Andrew Sum of Northeastern University, about 1 in 4 bartenders has some sort of degree." Continue reading →

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Half of All Homes Are Being Purchased With Cash

"More than half of all homes sold last year and so far in 2013 have been financed without a mortgage, according to a Goldman Sachs analysis. The analysis estimates that around 20% of all homes sold before the housing crash were 'all-cash' sales (or around 30% of sales by dollar volume). But over the past seven years, the all-cash share of sales has more than doubled. There’s no exact way to know who is responsible for all of these cash purchases, though they are likely to include some combination of investors, foreign buyers, and wealthy homeowners that don’t want to go through the hassle of getting a mortgage before closing on a sale." Continue reading →

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More Car Loans Than Mortgages in U.S.

"There are now more auto loans than mortgages in the U.S., but most of them are going to older Americans, according to New York Fed data. Borrowing for vehicles reached $814 billion in the second quarter, an increase of $20 billion from the previous quarter. The 2.5% jump was bigger than any other loan category in the quarter. The recovery has come faster for older Americans. The only group originating more loans than before the recession are people over 50, likely a result of aging Baby Boomers. But 18 to 29 year olds haven’t seen much of a recovery. Meanwhile, student loan borrowing is up 82% from prerecession levels." Continue reading →

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Bill Bonner: Trust is falling

"Stocks are now as expensive as they were in 2007, says our old friend Mark Hulbert. As for bonds, they are at the top of a 30-year bull market. And gold? The metal bottomed out in 1998. It's gone up ever since, with a textbook correction over the last year or so. What's happening now? Slowly, gradually, like draining a huge lock on a canal, the bond market is dropping. Bonds rise on trust. They fall when trust ebbs away. Why should trust fall now? The simple answer is because it has run its course. Trust is cyclical. As it grows, people become more confident, more sure, and more reckless. Why hold back when there is nothing to fear?" Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBill Bonner: Trust is falling

Gold Gone? Germany baffled as Fed bars access to bullion

"The world is losing trust in the dollar as a safe haven. A major blow came after Germany's Bundesbank demanded the repatriation of a big chunk of its gold being held in the US. Because as RT's Gayane Chichakyan reports, some are concerned the assets of foreign nations in the Federal Reserve are not secure or even there. The Germans were infuriated when the US Federal reserve didn't even let them examine their own assets properly. Peter Boehringer, the founder and chairman of 'German Precious Metal Association', says that's a bad sign." Continue reading →

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Bill Bonner: The Virgin Central Banker

"The air-traffic controller can help make sure people get where they were going safely. If he does his job well, things will turn out as expected. But if he does a ‘brilliant’ job, travellers end up where they didn’t expect to go; he has not really added to the sum of human happiness. Out-of-the-box air traffic controlling will not make the world a better place. It can only make a mess of things. Likewise, the best a central banker can do is the normal thing. Creative central banking — and experimental central bank policies — should be avoided. They don’t make the world a better place; they only take people where they didn’t want to go." Continue reading →

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Harvard’s Rogoff: Next Fed Chief Must Have ‘Tolerance for Inflation’

"Harvard University Professor Kenneth Rogoff, whose influential 1985 paper endorsed central bankers focused more on securing low inflation than on spurring employment, is highlighting the benefits of a Fed led by either Janet Yellen or Lawrence Summers precisely because they fail his old litmus test. President Barack Obama said Aug. 9 that they are 'outstanding' and 'highly qualified' candidates to replace Ben S. Bernanke, whose term as chairman runs out in January. What qualifies them in Rogoff’s view is their dovishness, a refusal to place too much weight on stable inflation at a time when unemployment is far above its longer-run level." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingHarvard’s Rogoff: Next Fed Chief Must Have ‘Tolerance for Inflation’

Bernanke’s Bubble: A Counterfeit Boom Based on Counterfeit Money

"A lot of people on Wall Street think this stock market is a bubble. And a lot of people don’t. A lot of people think this market will fall sharply if the FED stops inflating. And a lot of people don’t. I think the people who blame the FED are right. I also think the FOMC thinks so, too. That is why it has no intention of tapering. Nothing it has said in print since last December indicates otherwise." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBernanke’s Bubble: A Counterfeit Boom Based on Counterfeit Money