liberty or tyranny

Fed Hawks Want Rate Hikes Soon

"A trio of inflation hawks at the Federal Reserve — Richard Fisher, Esther George and Charles Plosser — believe it's about time to take the punch bowl away. The three regional Fed bank presidents are on a mission to urge their colleagues to take a tougher monetary policy stance, CNNMoney reported. If they are successful, Americans would be hit with higher rates on mortgages, small business loans and credit cards, and many on Wall Street fear bonds and stocks would also suffer. But the Fed hawks believe the alternative to tighter policy could be high inflation and more dangerous asset bubbles." Continue reading →

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Bill Bonner: Is Ms Yellen making history?

"See how easy investment analysis is. Even a Fed chairman can do it. 'Get out of social media and biotech,' she practically urged investors. 'Buy blue chips and the broad market.' In this, Ms. Yellen is not just making headlines; she's making history. As far as we know, no other Fed chairman has ever offered sector analysis. We'd like to see her portfolio. Here is a woman who not only observes markets; she moves them. In the event, investors sold the sectors she warned against, and bought the broad market...sending the Dow back to record territory. What a fortune you could make if you knew what she'd say next! And what a dope you'd be if you believed her." Continue reading →

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American Airlines cuts Venezuela flights after Maduro threat

"American Airlines says it is cutting almost 80% of its flights to Venezuela from next month. Tight foreign currency controls make it difficult for foreign airlines to repatriate money from ticket sales in Venezuela. The authorities have restricted access to dollars and want to make them more expensive to purchase, which may lead to losses for companies that are still waiting for cash from as far back as 2012. In January, Ecuadorean airline Tame also suspended flights to Venezuela, demanding $43m (£26m) in overdue payments for tickets. President Nicolas Maduro said at the time that airlines that reduced their operations in Venezuela would face 'severe measures'." Continue reading →

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Robbing Peter

"Spain may defend its decision by pointing out that it has one of the lowest tax takes in the European Union, which is true. However, what should be the issue here is not the amount of tax being imposed, but the principle upon which the tax is being taken. Let there be no doubt about this bail-in or any other—it is pure theft. The measure in Spain is also an advance on the concept that, as long as an emergency is perceived to exist, confiscation is justified. In Spain, no emergency situation is being pretended; they simply want the money and have decided to take it." Continue reading →

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Spain Issues Retroactive 0.03% Tax on Bank Deposits

"Spain will retroactively tax bank deposits to January 1, 2014 stating the move will boost growth and job creation. Guru Huky correctly labeled the tax for what it is 'More than a tax, this looks like a mini seizure of deposits. Someone likely needs a few million and to balance the books.' The notion that a tax increase will boost the economy is of course absurd. But don't worry, it's only 0.03%, nudge nudge, wink wink ... for now." Continue reading →

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What’s It Like to Work for the New York FED?

"Not bad, if you like perks, 8-hour days, and bureaucratic security. This is the opinion of two-thirds of its employees who responded to the GlassDoor inquiry. It’s fat city in Fat City. And why not? Working for the Federal Reserve is a license to print money . . . literally. Click the link to see what the good life is like for America’s legal counterfeiting operation." Continue reading →

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Bursting Switzerland’s bubble

"Last year, SNP chief Thomas Jordan requested a [buffer] to be introduced for Swiss banks, forcing them to hold an additional one percent of risk-weighted assets to stave off the potential dangers of the housing boom. Earlier this year, as worries about a bubble increased, the SNB instigated a number of policies to prevent any more dramatic rises. This included doubling the capital buffer requirement to two percent. However, despite a partial slowdown since January, Jordan told reporters in March that the work was not yet done. 'The pace has slowed, but we are far away from the soft landing we want. We don’t yet see the slowdown that we would like to see.'" Continue reading →

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Sweden’s deflated economy: Sub-zero conditions

"Sweden’s economy, which it oversees, grew three times faster than the euro zone’s in 2010 and dodged Europe’s double-dip recession in 2012-13. The Riksbank felt confident enough in recovery to start raising interest rates in 2010. The Riksbank worried that rising household borrowing and soaring house prices could lead to trouble down the road. It therefore opted to 'lean against the wind', in central bankers’ parlance, and deflate the credit boom before it burst catastrophically. It seems instead to have taken the air out of everything but exuberant markets. Unemployment in Sweden has held steady, while Swedish private-sector debt as a share of GDP is higher now than it was in 2010." Continue reading →

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When Zero’s Too High: Time preference versus central bankers

"Central banking has taken interest rate reduction to its absurd conclusion. If observers thought the ECB had run out of room by holding its deposit rate at zero, Mario Draghi proved he is creative, cutting the ECB’s deposit rate to minus 0.10 percent, making it the first major central bank to institute a negative rate. Can a central-bank edict force present goods to no longer have a premium over future goods? Armed with high-powered math and models dancing in their heads, modern central bankers believe they are only limited by their imaginations. More than half a decade of zero interest rates has not lifted anyone from poverty or created any jobs—it has simply caused more malinvestment." Continue reading →

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The Fed’s Dreaded Dilemma: A Weak Economy Plus Inflation

"The fact that the Fed’s PCE index is showing inflationary pressure is significant, since it is essentially designed to lowball price increases. The CPI gives a 31 percent weighting to shelter costs and a 17 percent weighting to transportation (read as rent and gasoline), which the PCE basically cuts in half. By reducing the volatility of its preferred inflation gauge, the Fed essentially gives itself the leeway to maintain a looser policy longer. But the fact that the PCE is on the rise leaves the Fed in a conundrum, having said for years now that it would act when inflation reaches an annualized 2 percent, a level that is fast approaching." Continue reading →

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