Bill Bonner: The End of the World As We Know It

"People become 'educators' and never teach a single student. They go on 'disability.' They turn whole industries – defense, health, finance – into vast wealth transfer schemes that produce little or no net benefit for the people they are supposed to serve. In short, zombies consume more than they produce; they are a net negative for society. But Hadas is right about the effects of lower birthrates. They also lower 'growth.' And without substantial growth, life as we have known it will come to an end. Stocks will fall, creditors (bondholders, for example) won't be paid, and governments must cut back on their expenses... or go broke." Continue reading

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The astonishing collapse of work in America

"Both demand and supply factors are at play in this disheartening dynamic. On the demand side, it seems fairly clear that our contemporary economy is just not generating jobs and work as robustly as it did in the past---even the relatively recent past. This can be seen as a 'structural' problem. For on the supply side, it is apparent that there has been a major behavioral change in America, wherein a growing proportion of working-age Americans are checking out of paid labor altogether. Suffice it to say that not working at all is neither unthinkable nor unaffordable these days, even for adults in the prime of life." Continue reading

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The situation on the ground in Athens

"The total number of unemployed is roughly 57% of the entire Greek work force. And as you probably know, the situation for young people is even worse. Only 1 in 3 people aged 25 and under has a job. This phenomenon, sustained for several years now, has cut deeply into the psyche of an entire generation that is growing up without productive work experience or the prospect of improving their lives. The middle class here has been completely gutted. Aside from a few pockets of wealth, the country is either unemployed or working poor, hamstrung by debilitating debt. The suicide rate here has skyrocketed, crime is noticeably higher, and prostitution is rampant." Continue reading

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The Case of the Missing $700 Billion

"1. Banks took $700 billion in bailout money and paid off their high-interest debt. That included FDIC-insured CDs, which they called in, leaving seniors and savers without many viable alternatives for safe investing. 2. Banks stopped lending to the public because they found a better deal. If you could take billions of dollars from the government and lend it back to them by buying US bonds, wouldn't you do the same thing? 3. Banks turned a big profit and paid out handsome bonuses to their higher-ups. 4. By reducing interest rates in the public sector, the Treasury reduced the cost of its own massive debt.[...]" Continue reading

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What Every Student in America Needs to Know About the Federal Reserve

"This whole concept of infinite fiat is hard for people to grasp; it is something outside of their experience. People's lifelong experience with money is that it is a limited resource. It is hard to conceive of a group of people who have unlimited, infinite money. Yet the Federal Reserve has just that. The Fed is not like a doctor who prescribes a short-term stimulus for a patient who is feeling run down. The Fed is not like a parent who temporarily puts training wheels on a bike until the kid learns how to ride it. These metaphors make people think that the Fed's fiat printing is temporary and limited. It is not." Continue reading

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John Williams: Pulling Back the Curtain on Phony Government Statistics

"The crux of the dollar-debasement and ultimate, severe-inflation/hyperinflation issues indeed is this political inability of the United States to cover its long-range obligations, other than by printing the money it needs. Based on the US Treasury's financial accounting of the federal government using generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the GAAP-based federal budget deficit was $6.6 trillion in fiscal-year 2012 (year ended September 30). Well beyond the simple cash-based deficit of $1.1 trillion in fiscal 2012, the GAAP-based annual deficits have been in the range of $4 to $5 trillion for the six years leading up to 2012." Continue reading

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Portugal Throws Open Europe’s Them-And-Us Austerity Divide

"Half way through his four-year term, Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho is trying to curb popular resentment over what opponents say is a widening gulf between private employees and about 600,000 public workers who have mostly stayed immune to mass job cuts. What’s bothering the Portuguese isn’t just that austerity helped prolong a recession and sent unemployment to a record 18 percent, it’s also that the government used taxation more than those in Greece and Ireland to try to narrow the budget deficit. Some workers on the state payrolls are perceived to have escaped the deterioration in living standards being felt by others." Continue reading

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Currency Controls in Cyprus Increase Worry About Euro System

"On a visit to Athens this year, Marios Loucaides, a Cypriot businessman, saw an apartment he liked in the heart of the Greek capital and decided to buy it. However, Mr. Loucaides discovered that the euros he had on deposit here in Nicosia, the capital, could not be moved to Greece, even though the two countries share the same currency and, in theory at least, the same free movement of capital.The apartment deal collapsed. And so, too, did Mr. Loucaides’s belief that Europe has a common currency. Tangled in restrictions imposed in March as part of a bailout for the country’s ailing banks, a euro in Cyprus is no longer the same as one in France, Germany or Greece." Continue reading

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Japan Government To Change Inflation Calculation Ushering In Even More BOJ Liquidity

"The official explanation for this upcoming adoption of core-core-CPI which also excludes energy prices in addition to fresh food costs (as core CPI does everywhere else in the world) is to 'raise the bar' on Abe's inflation goal. In reality, it will simply grant the BOJ unlimited ammo to continue injecting liquidity indefinitely because absent exploding energy costs (as we have discussed), inflation in Japan is quite dormant. But what will really happen is that inflation will merely become just one more governmentally-determined and goalseeked economic indicator and policy tool, as it is in the US and China." Continue reading

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Bill Bonner: Can the Fed’s “Credit Cure” Really Work?

"The US economy reached a turning point in the 1980s. Natural, healthy, sustainable growth gave way to credit-boosted phony growth. The 'growth' of the last 30 years was not like the growth of the 30 years before it. It was not based on rising productivity, increased wages and real capital formation. Wages stagnated. The only way people could increase their standards of living was by spending money they didn't have. That's where the credit came in, made possible by America's post-1971 flexible paper money system. Spending money you don't have is one of those things that economist Herb Stein had in mind when he said, 'When something can't go on forever, it will stop.'" Continue reading

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