sound money

The $4 Trillion Money Printing Press

"One pandemic, two great depressions, 11 major wars, and 44 recessions. Four U.S. presidents were assassinated while in office. Hundreds of thousands of businesses went bankrupt; tens of millions of Americans lost their jobs. Did the U.S. government respond to many of these events with countermeasures? Of course. But never once had the U.S. government resorted to such extreme abuses of its money-printing power as it did in 2008-10. Now, all that tradition of leadership and discipline was abandoned — all for the sake of perpetuating America’s addiction to spending, borrowing, and speculative bubbles." Continue reading →

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“It Could Never Happen Here”

"Of course, not everyone in Greece is hurting. Many people saw this coming and took action. They took all their money out of the banks, put it under the mattress, or maybe stored it in a safe. Maybe they bought gold, or diamonds, or something else. These people aren’t standing in lines at ATMs. They aren’t going to go homeless or hungry. But these people get a pretty bad rap—at least here in the US, where we call them 'doomsday preppers.' Or 'bunker monkeys.' Or 'conspiracy theorists.' Or 'gold bugs.' They take a beating. Jim Rickards tweeted the other day, 'I’ll bet there a lot of Greeks saying, ‘I wish I had bought some gold.’' Truer words have never been spoken." Continue reading →

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Chicago Public Schools’ pain is these financial firms’ gain

"Struggling to make payments for pensions and pay down billions of dollars in debt, the Chicago Public Schools last week announced 1,050 layoffs and $200 million in spending cuts to keep the school system afloat. Dozens of financial and legal firms have been paid $18.1 million in fees from CPS borrowing and debt-refinancing deals since 2011, according to records obtained by the Chicago Sun-Times. CPS still owes billions on borrowing deals dating to the mid-1990s, when then-Mayor Richard M. Daley took formal control of the school system, which then began renovating and building schools using borrowed money." Continue reading →

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Puerto Rico’s Crisis Deals a Blow to Municipal-Bond Funds

"In a low-interest rate world, Puerto Rico’s bonds have offered investors juicy yields over the past several years. Puerto Rico’s $3.5 billion in general-obligation bonds issued in 2014 initially had a yield of 8.7%. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes, by contrast, hovered between 2% and 3% last year. But now investors are getting a fast lesson on the risk that comes with those sorts of high yields. More than half of all U.S. municipal-bond funds, or 298 of 565, have invested in Puerto Rico’s debt, according to the most recent fund holdings compiled by Morningstar." Continue reading →

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Greeks awake to shuttered banks on day after voters reject austerity

"Greeks awoke Monday to the stark reality of the country's accelerating crisis — shuttered banks and ATMs with little cash — hours after they voted resoundingly to reject more austerity measures in exchange for another bailout. The results — 61% voted 'no,' compared with 39% for 'yes' — left the bankrupt country's future in the European Union and its euro currency uncertain. Greece entered a second week of severe restrictions on financial transactions and faced the prospect of even limited amounts of cash drying out, with no prospect of an immediate infusion. Greece imposed the restrictions to stem a bank run after the vote was called and its bailout program expired." Continue reading →

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Greece defaults on $1.7 billion IMF payment

"Greece became the first developed country to default to the IMF, an organization of 188 nations that tries to keep the world economy stable. Greece will now be cut off from access to IMF resources until the payment is made. The move came hours after the country made a desperate attempt Tuesday to halt its plunge into economic chaos by requesting a new European bailout. Greece asked for a two-year bailout from Europe, its third in six years. Greek banks remained shut Tuesday and limits on cash withdrawals were in place as the country tried to stave off financial collapse before the vote. Daily withdrawals are limited to 60 euros, or about $67." Continue reading →

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Greece Closes Banks and Stock Markets, Introduces Capital Controls

"The banks in Greece and the Athens Stock Exchange will remain closed until at least July 6, the day after the referendum on the austerity measures demanded by the country’s creditors. In the meantime, cash withdrawals at ATMs will be limited to 60 euros ($66) and transfers abroad will be forbidden. Greece is the second Eurozone country, after Cyprus in 2013, to impose capital controls. The move is evidently aimed at preventing panicked Greek investors and savers from taking their money out of the nation’s banks and moving it elsewhere. In the days before the predictable stall of the negotiations with Europe, many Greeks rushed to withdraw their money." Continue reading →

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China’s Stocks Enter Bear Market as Rate Cut Fails to Stop Rout

"Chinese stocks tumbled, sending the benchmark index into a bear market, as signs of an exodus by leveraged investors overshadowed the central bank’s effort to revive confidence with an interest-rate cut. The retreat marks an end to the nation’s longest-ever bull market, a rally that’s lured record numbers of individual investors and convinced traders to bet an unprecedented amount of borrowed money on further gains. Zhang Gang, a strategist at Central China Securities strategist in Shanghai, called Monday’s losses 'panic selling' that will likely continue as margin investors are forced to liquidate their holdings and the recent selloff spurs more mutual fund redemptions." Continue reading →

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John Hussman: All Their Eggs in Janet’s Basket

"Investors whose strategy is to follow the Fed – in the belief that stocks will advance as long as the Fed does not raise interest rates – are free to place all their eggs in Janet’s basket. On the other hand, for investors whose strategy is historically informed by factors that have reliably distinguished market advances from collapses over a century of history, our suggestion is to consider a stronger defense. Our greatest successes have been when our investment outlook was aligned with valuations and market internals, and our greatest disappointments have been when it was not. Both factors are unfavorable at present, and our outlook is aligned accordingly." Continue reading →

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Swiss Bank Refuses Request for Cash Withdrawal, Backed By Central Bank

"A Swiss pension fund manager calculated that he could save his clients a substantial amount of money by withdrawing cash from his fund's bank account, which was yielding a negative interest return, and depositing the cash in an insured vault. Exercising his fiduciary responsibility, he notified his bank of an impending large withdrawal of CHF. The bank rebuffed the fund manager's request: 'We are sorry, that within the time period specified, no solution corresponding to your expectations could be found.' One banking expert argues that the bank's action 'is most definitely not legal' because the pension fund holds a 'sight account,' which gives the holder the right to withdraw cash on demand." Continue reading →

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