What Could Possibly Go Wrong

The $4 Trillion Money Printing Press

"One pandemic, two great depressions, 11 major wars, and 44 recessions. Four U.S. presidents were assassinated while in office. Hundreds of thousands of businesses went bankrupt; tens of millions of Americans lost their jobs. Did the U.S. government respond to many of these events with countermeasures? Of course. But never once had the U.S. government resorted to such extreme abuses of its money-printing power as it did in 2008-10. Now, all that tradition of leadership and discipline was abandoned — all for the sake of perpetuating America’s addiction to spending, borrowing, and speculative bubbles." Continue reading →

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“It Could Never Happen Here”

"Of course, not everyone in Greece is hurting. Many people saw this coming and took action. They took all their money out of the banks, put it under the mattress, or maybe stored it in a safe. Maybe they bought gold, or diamonds, or something else. These people aren’t standing in lines at ATMs. They aren’t going to go homeless or hungry. But these people get a pretty bad rap—at least here in the US, where we call them 'doomsday preppers.' Or 'bunker monkeys.' Or 'conspiracy theorists.' Or 'gold bugs.' They take a beating. Jim Rickards tweeted the other day, 'I’ll bet there a lot of Greeks saying, ‘I wish I had bought some gold.’' Truer words have never been spoken." Continue reading →

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Puerto Rico’s Crisis Deals a Blow to Municipal-Bond Funds

"In a low-interest rate world, Puerto Rico’s bonds have offered investors juicy yields over the past several years. Puerto Rico’s $3.5 billion in general-obligation bonds issued in 2014 initially had a yield of 8.7%. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes, by contrast, hovered between 2% and 3% last year. But now investors are getting a fast lesson on the risk that comes with those sorts of high yields. More than half of all U.S. municipal-bond funds, or 298 of 565, have invested in Puerto Rico’s debt, according to the most recent fund holdings compiled by Morningstar." Continue reading →

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China’s Stocks Enter Bear Market as Rate Cut Fails to Stop Rout

"Chinese stocks tumbled, sending the benchmark index into a bear market, as signs of an exodus by leveraged investors overshadowed the central bank’s effort to revive confidence with an interest-rate cut. The retreat marks an end to the nation’s longest-ever bull market, a rally that’s lured record numbers of individual investors and convinced traders to bet an unprecedented amount of borrowed money on further gains. Zhang Gang, a strategist at Central China Securities strategist in Shanghai, called Monday’s losses 'panic selling' that will likely continue as margin investors are forced to liquidate their holdings and the recent selloff spurs more mutual fund redemptions." Continue reading →

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John Hussman: All Their Eggs in Janet’s Basket

"Investors whose strategy is to follow the Fed – in the belief that stocks will advance as long as the Fed does not raise interest rates – are free to place all their eggs in Janet’s basket. On the other hand, for investors whose strategy is historically informed by factors that have reliably distinguished market advances from collapses over a century of history, our suggestion is to consider a stronger defense. Our greatest successes have been when our investment outlook was aligned with valuations and market internals, and our greatest disappointments have been when it was not. Both factors are unfavorable at present, and our outlook is aligned accordingly." Continue reading →

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Russia boosting gold holdings as defence against ‘political risks’

"Russia is increasing its gold holdings because gold is a reserve asset that is free from legal and political risks, a senior central banker said on Tuesday. The comments by Dmitry Tulin, who manages monetary policy at the central bank, reflect Russian fears that the country's overseas assets could be frozen as part of a possible toughening of Western sanctions over the Ukraine crisis. 'As you know we are increasing our gold holdings, although this comes with market risks,' Tulin told lawmakers in the lower house of parliament. 'The price of it (gold) swings, but on the other hand it is a 100 percent guarantee from legal and political risks.'" Continue reading →

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Texas Senate Passes Bill to Establish Gold & Silver Bullion Depository

"A bill taking a step towards gold and silver as commonly-used legal tender in Texas passed in the state Senate today by an overwhelming 29-2 vote. What the bill essentially does is create a means for transactions to occur in precious metals. It allows people to open an account and deposit their precious metals in the state depository. They could then use the electronic system to make payments to any other business or person who also holds an account. This opening of the market is considered by many insiders to be the most important first step towards bringing sound money to mainstream acceptance." Continue reading →

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Cyprus: 16 months of capital controls, banks still pitifully capitalized

"It’s been over a year since the banking system in Cyprus officially went bust. On Friday, March 15, 2013, practically everyone in the country went to bed thinking that everything was just fine. Many had probably gone to the bank that very day to do business, or logged on to an Internet banking platform. Yet the very next morning, they woke to a completely new reality: the nation’s banks were broke, and the government was in no position to rescue them. All the promises they had been told about government guarantees and having a ‘well-regulated’, sound banking system turned out to be lies." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingCyprus: 16 months of capital controls, banks still pitifully capitalized

IMF pronounces Bulgaria’s banks safe, 2 weeks before bank run

"Earlier this summer, IMF bureaucrats went to Sofia, Bulgaria to study the country’s economic progress. And roughly a month ago, they released an official report which stated, among other things, that Bulgarian banks are 'stable and liquid.' Talk about epic timing. Because less than two weeks later, Bulgaria’s banking system was in the throes of a full-blown crisis. There was a run on two of the nation’s largest banks—several hundred million dollars had been withdrawn in a matter of hours. And the Bulgarian central bank had to step in and take over both of them or risk a collapse in the entire system." Continue reading →

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Bill Bonner: The Dumbest Investment Mistake You Can Make

"There could be a 15-day cooling off period… which could be extended by the Fed, in the interest of market stability. Economists don’t know what will work because no one can know what the future will bring. But we all know what won’t work: central financial planning. Likewise, investors can’t consistently choose good investments; because they don’t really know the future. All they can know is what isn’t true and, knowing that, avoid bad investments. That’s why investing is often called a 'loser’s game.' You don’t win by choosing winning investments; you win by not losing. You don’t win by pretending to know what is true; you win by knowing what is false." Continue reading →

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