What Could Possibly Go Wrong

Corporate Bonds Are The IEDs Of Monetary Central Planning

"The Fed’s sustained, heavy-handed financial repression has generated the greatest ever scramble for yield, and it is now entering its seventh year. Consequently, speculators and bond fund managers are all in the same side of the boat. And all but the most intrepid traders are scared to death to short the Fed, fearing that any day it might uncork yet another round of bond market repression. So we have basically a highly artificial one-way market in corporate bonds—both investment grade and high yield. Very recently yields in the latter touched an all-time low of 4.87%, meaning that after inflation and taxes there is virtually no room for losses on securities that are called 'junk bonds' for a reason." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingCorporate Bonds Are The IEDs Of Monetary Central Planning

Bulgarian Pres. Blames ‘Lack Of Faith In Institutions’ For Bank Runs

"Bulgarians’ lack of faith in institutions sparked runs on two banks and triggered the worst financial crisis in 17 years, the nation’s president said. 'Let me make this very clear: there is no banking crisis in my country, but there is a crisis of confidence,' Rosen Plevneliev said today. With low trust in institutions, rumors, attempts at destabilization and speculative attacks can 'create a panic,' the president said. The central bank blames an 'organized attack' of 'criminal actions' for the run on First Investment Bank. Corporate Commercial Bank lost deposits because of a dispute between a majority shareholder and a large depositor, Capital newspaper reported June 18, citing unidentified people." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBulgarian Pres. Blames ‘Lack Of Faith In Institutions’ For Bank Runs

The Curious Case Of The Bulgarian Bank Runs

"Because of the extent of the fraud, BNB say that nationalizing CorpBank is not an option – it describes it as 'a bottomless barrel'. The Bulgarian Finance Ministry estimates that the cost of the deposit guarantee will raise the public deficit from 1.8% of gdp to 3%, putting it at the Maastricht treaty limit. This will be seen as a considerable disappointment in Brussels, which in the recent European Semester report advised the Bulgarian government not to allow the deficit to rise any further. And it raises considerable questions about the capability of the BNB to supervise banks effectively. Only a month ago CorpBank was given a clean bill of health. Now it is bankrupt because of a major fraud." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingThe Curious Case Of The Bulgarian Bank Runs

German Gold Stays in New York in Rebuff to Euro Doubters

"Surging mistrust of the euro during Europe’s debt crisis fed a campaign to bring Germany’s entire $141 billion gold reserve home from New York and London. Now, after the Free Democratic Party, which flirted with bringing the gold home, dropped out of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s coalition and was replaced by the Social Democrats, the government has concluded that stashing half its bullion abroad is prudent after all. Ending talk of repatriating the world’s second-biggest gold reserves is a rebuff to critics including the anti-euro Alternative for Germany party, which says all the gold should return to Frankfurt so it can’t be impounded to blackmail Germany." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingGerman Gold Stays in New York in Rebuff to Euro Doubters

Fed fears risks posed by exit tools; plan almost done

"The sheer magnitude of the amounts of money used to combat the crisis - $2.6 trillion sitting at the Fed as bank reserves and $4.2 trillion held by the Fed in various securities - may complicate the U.S. central bank's ability to control its target interest rate once the decision is made that it should be raised. The Fed has neared consensus that its workhorse tool will be the interest it pays banks on excess reserves on deposit at the Fed. Another tool would have a similar impact but apply more broadly, using overnight repurchase agreements that would let money market funds and other institutions as well as banks essentially make short-term deposits at the Fed." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingFed fears risks posed by exit tools; plan almost done

Japan economics minister warns of premature QE exit

"Japanese Economics Minister Akira Amari warned that it would be premature for the Bank of Japan to consider an exit strategy from its massive stimulus programme, voicing hope instead for further monetary easing if achievement of its inflation goal falls behind schedule. The central bank has kept policy unchanged since deploying an intense burst of monetary stimulus in April last year, when it pledged to double base money via aggressive asset purchases to accelerate inflation to 2 percent in roughly two years. With Japan only halfway to meeting that target, the BOJ is set to keep its stimulus plan intact well into next year." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingJapan economics minister warns of premature QE exit

Finance Goes From Foe to Friend in Hollande Government

"During his election campaign in 2011, President Francois Hollande famously called finance his 'greatest adversary.' In a speech today, French Finance Minister Michel Sapin called finance 'a friend,” quickly specifying that he was talking about 'good finance.' The new stance comes as the president’s popularity is at a record low and his economic policies have drawn the ire of members of his own Socialist Party and of allied groups. Recovery remains anemic and joblessness is at a record high. Global finance, however, has stuck with Hollande. Investors have piled into French bonds, giving Hollande’s government borrowing costs that are close to the lowest on record." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingFinance Goes From Foe to Friend in Hollande Government

Yellen Sees Little Threat to Financial Stability

"Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said Wednesday that she doesn't see a need for the Fed to start raising interest rates to defuse the risk that extremely low rates could destabilize the financial system. Yellen said she does see 'pockets' of increased risk-taking. But she said those threats could be addressed through greater use of regulatory tools, such as higher capital standards for banks. Some critics of Fed policies have warned that the central bank could be setting the stage for another dangerous bubble by keeping rates so low for so long. In her speech, Yellen said she didn't see dangerous excesses in the financial system." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingYellen Sees Little Threat to Financial Stability

Japan consumer price growth at 32-year high

"Consumer prices in Japan rose at an annual rate of 3.4% in May, the fastest pace in 32 years, as the effect of the sales tax hike from 5% to 8% started to be felt. The price growth in May follows a 3.2% jump in April and is a big boost for Japan's attempt to trigger inflation. The country's central bank has set a target of a 2% inflation rate. The measures, which include boosting the country's money supply, have started to have an impact and consumer prices in the country have now risen for 12 months in a row. Policymakers have been hoping that consumers and business will be encouraged to start spending and not hold back on purchases, as they may have to pay more later on." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingJapan consumer price growth at 32-year high

BIS: Central banks warned of ‘false sense of security’

"'The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has warned that ultra-low interest rates have lulled governments and markets "into a false sense of security'. The Basel-based organisation - usually dubbed the 'central banks' central bank' - urged policy makers to begin to normalise rates. 'The risk of normalising too late and too gradually should not be underestimated,' the BIS said. Markets have rallied since January. The FTSE all-world share index is up 5% so far this year, while the 'fear index', is at a 7-year low. 'Overall, it is hard to avoid the sense of a puzzling disconnect between the markets' buoyancy and underlying economic developments globally,' the BIS said in its annual report." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBIS: Central banks warned of ‘false sense of security’