What Could Possibly Go Wrong

Incredible confusions: Why ‘austerity’ if we can just print the money?

"Debt can either be repaid or be defaulted on. Destroying the purchasing power of money through inflation is one way to default on the debt. Simply not paying the debt is the other option. In both cases, savers, ‘thrifty pensioners’, and the customers of banks, insurance companies, and pension funds will suffer, and in the inflationary scenario everybody will suffer greatly. Sadly, the massive printing of money and accumulation of debt that has occurred since the termination of the gold standard and the adoption of limitless state fiat money and pro-growth central banking has now brought us to a point where defaults appear to be unavoidable. This is not some great reset. It is a man-made catastrophe." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingIncredible confusions: Why ‘austerity’ if we can just print the money?

Bill Bonner: The Massive Problem Threatening the Global Recovery

"Debt is an obligation laid upon the future by the past. The larger it gets, the harder it is for the future to happen. There is a correlation between extreme levels of public debt and low economic growth. High levels of debt-to-GDP have been historically associated with low levels of economic growth. That is what has been happening in Japan for the last 23 years… and in Europe and the US for the last seven. These economies are still fighting deleveraging, resisting debt deflation and pretending that they can continue to add debt forever… and that somehow this will get them out of their debt traps. But they are doomed. Without growth they can’t pay the debt. With so much debt, they can’t grow." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBill Bonner: The Massive Problem Threatening the Global Recovery

Global Debt Exceeds $100 Trillion as Governments Binge, BIS Says

"The amount of debt globally has soared more than 40 percent to $100 trillion since the first signs of the financial crisis as governments borrowed to pull their economies out of recession and companies took advantage of record low interest rates, according to the Bank for International Settlements. The $30 trillion increase from $70 trillion between mid-2007 and mid-2013 compares with a $3.86 trillion decline in the value of equities to $53.8 trillion in the same period. Borrowing has soared as central banks suppress benchmark interest rates to spur growth. Yields on all types of bonds average about 2 percent, down from more than 4.8 percent in 2007." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingGlobal Debt Exceeds $100 Trillion as Governments Binge, BIS Says

Ukraine’s Largest Bank Limits Cash Withdrawals To $100 Daily

"The military escalation in Ukraine has had dire consequences for the financial state of the country, its banks, and ultimately its people. The central bank promised to rescue domestic banks so long as they agreed to its complete control and it appears the first consequences of that 'we are here to help you' promise is coming true. Privatbank is Ukraine's largest bank and while claiming this move is temporary (just like Cyprus' capital controls), the bank has also ceased new loans amid what it calls 'geopolitical instability'. In summary, you can't have your money back! Expect long angry lines at Ukrainian banks on Monday morning." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingUkraine’s Largest Bank Limits Cash Withdrawals To $100 Daily

Truth and Consequences of Fed Money Printing

"Don’t be persuaded by the theory that the dollar is invulnerable … that inflation is dead … or that none of this really matters. Above all, don’t let anyone talk you out of protective investments. Indeed, the same investments that can help shield you from the consequences of the Fed’s folly also have the potential to deliver some of the greatest profit bonanzas of this era. Our editors are continually scouring the globe for the best opportunities at the best time. Today, I want to set the stage by taking you on a tour through time — to help you experience the consequences of central bank money printing … and to see the fortunes that can be lost, or made, as a result." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingTruth and Consequences of Fed Money Printing

Bill Bonner: Why the Crowd Is About to Get Destroyed in US Stocks

"In the US, as in Japan, QE does not help stimulate a real recovery. But it does help simulate one. House prices are up (thanks, in part, to ultra-low mortgage rates). The middle class has more 'wealth' (albeit the paper kind) due to gains in their stock market portfolios. The rich are feeling fat and sassy, too. The Fed can continue modest tapering. But this is likely to produce a selloff in the stock market. Then the Fed will stop tapering. But it will be too late to reverse the damage to equities. They will go down for many years… bringing us even closer to the Japanese model. Our guess now is that this situation will persist for a few years." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBill Bonner: Why the Crowd Is About to Get Destroyed in US Stocks

Debt hits 200-year high; IMF warns of ‘savings tax’ and mass write-offs

"Much of the Western world will require defaults, a savings tax and higher inflation to clear the way for recovery as debt levels reach a 200-year high, according to a new report by the International Monetary Fund. The IMF working paper said debt burdens in developed nations have become extreme by any historical measure and will require a wave of haircuts, either negotiated 1930s-style write-offs or the standard mix of measures used by the IMF in its 'toolkit' for emerging market blow-ups. Financial repression can take many forms, including capital controls, interest rate caps or the force-feeding of government debt to captive pension funds and insurance companies." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingDebt hits 200-year high; IMF warns of ‘savings tax’ and mass write-offs

3 Urgent Steps for the Ultimate Strategy in 2014!

"There’s no doubt we’re living in crazy times. Despite a slight reduction in the amount of unbacked money it prints every month, the Fed is still burying the world in unbacked paper dollars. Despite a 'budget deal,' the massive federal debt is nearing the $18 trillion mark and annual deficits are still massive. Despite the trillions Washington has poured into the economy over six years, growth is still sub-par. Despite Washington’s claims to the contrary, the real unemployment rate, measured the way our government used to, is still 13.2 percent. Yet this year alone, the S&P 500 has hit nearly four dozen new all-time highs in 2013. So what’s the wisest wealth-building strategy in times like these?" Continue reading →

Continue Reading3 Urgent Steps for the Ultimate Strategy in 2014!

Bill Bonner: Avoid This Popular Stock in 2014…

"All eyes have been fixed on the stock market in 2013. But one of the most significant moves has happened in supposedly 'safe haven' bonds. Mom & Pop investors who rushed out of the stock market and into bond funds have been burned. In 2013, investors holding the iShares Barclay’s 20+yr Treasury Bond ETF lost 13.5%. This is strange, because the Fed has been supporting the long end of the Treasury market with $540 billion of Treasury bond purchases under QE3. If this is how long-bond investors are rewarded with the Fed set to buy another half trillion dollars of long bonds next year, it doesn’t bode well for bond bulls. Our advice: Steer clear of T-bonds in 2014." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBill Bonner: Avoid This Popular Stock in 2014…

Belgian card payment network crashes two days after record usage

"Belgium’s card payment network failed on Monday night, leaving millions of Belgians unable to pay at stores or to withdraw cash from ATMs and self-service terminals inside banks. Atos subsidiary Worldline, operator of Belgium’s Bancontact-Mister Cash payment network, reported on its website that it was difficult for cardholders throughout the country to make payments or withdrawals from around 4 p.m. local time on Monday. Local media reported long lines to make cardless withdrawals at bank counters. Worldline put its business continuity plan into effect, and payment traffic began to recover from 5.15 p.m., returning to near-normal levels from 6.30 p.m., the company said in a statement." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingBelgian card payment network crashes two days after record usage