What Could Possibly Go Wrong

Baby Boomers Put Retirement on the Back Burner

"Demographics continue to define conflict in the Middle East. Here’s Egypt’s population by age group. In Western history, we showed in Financial Reckoning Day, the French and Russian revolutions also corresponded with epochs during which large cohorts of young people marauded about the countryside with nothing to do. Even here in the U.S., a restless band of baby boomers wreaked havoc in the 1960s… at least until the draft was abolished. If, as Auguste Comte suggested, 'demography is destiny,' we continue to wonder today what will happen to the West when hordes of those baby boomers, now old, have nothing to do… and no savings?" Continue reading →

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Obama in crossfire as battle for control of the Fed heats up

"At stake is the chairmanship of an organization whose global influence has grown ever larger in recent years. The impact of the Fed’s policies can be seen everywhere. On top of its global role, the Fed has beefed up its activities as regulator in the US. Whoever gets the job will be taking over a position more powerful than the one Bernanke inherited when he was appointed in 2006. Obama said recently that the appointment 'is definitely one of the most important economic decisions I will make in the remainder of my presidency. The Federal Reserve chairman is not just one of the most important economic policymakers in America. He or she is one of the most important policymakers in the world.'" Continue reading →

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As Long As You Don’t Eat, Price Inflation Is Under Control

"USDA reports: Food prices have also been rising faster than in earlier years, and food price inflation has easily outpaced price inflation for many other types of goods. Among major consumer spending categories, only prices for transportation, which include a number of energy price measures, and medical care have risen faster than food prices[...] Since 2006, when commodity prices began their rollercoaster ride, the all-items CPI has risen 14 percent while the all-food CPI is up close to 20 percent. Here's the real concern: Americans are having to spend a larger portion of their disposable income on food; something that is a reversal of decades long trend." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingAs Long As You Don’t Eat, Price Inflation Is Under Control

IMF’s Lagarde Pleads: Fed Tapering Will Be ‘Arduous’ on Global Economy

"The head of the International Monetary Fund cautioned the world's major central banks Friday not to withdraw their unconventional support for weak economies too soon, according to numerous wire service reports. IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said stimulative policies are still needed in key regions, especially Europe and Japan, which have struggled with prolonged weakness. 'Even if managed well,' Lagarde said of a central bank’s exit from easy-money policies, that could still present an 'arduous obstacle course' for other countries. Lagarde said what’s needed is greater policy coordination and cooperation for the sake of the entire globe." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingIMF’s Lagarde Pleads: Fed Tapering Will Be ‘Arduous’ on Global Economy

Moody’s considers downgrading top US banks

"Moody's has warned that it could cut the credit ratings of the six biggest US banks, saying the federal government may be less likely to bail them out if they got into trouble in the future. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo could be downgraded, the rating agency said on Thursday. The review by the second-largest rating agency in terms of market share follows a similar statement from rival Standard & Poor's in June, and comes as governments are reshaping the regulation of banking and trying to prevent a repeat of the bailouts of the credit crisis era. Lower credit ratings could raise the cost of capital for bank holding companies." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingMoody’s considers downgrading top US banks

Brazilian Central Bank Launches Intervention Program To Stop The Bleeding

"The new intervention program announced by the BCB Thursday sees the central bank offering $500 million of dollar swaps in the currency derivatives market on a daily basis for the rest of 2013, and $1 billion of FX spot lines on Fridays. Essentially, the BCB is taking a big short position in the U.S. dollar. The BCB is conducting the majority of the real-bolstering intervention in the derivatives market as opposed to the spot market because under the latter scenario, the central bank has to burn through the U.S. dollar component of its foreign reserves in order to prop up the currency, whereas with swaps, foreign reserves don't come into play." Continue reading →

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125 shopping days left: Retailers start Xmas deals

"Even before the school bells are ringing for many families, retailers are sounding sleigh bells. Yes, that's right. With 120-plus shopping days left, stores are already talking up their holiday offers. You might not be feeling the time pressure yet, but retailers are. Success in the fourth quarter is often key to annual performance, and in tough economic times the competition for customer dollars is fierce, said Dave Cheatham, managing principal of Velocity Retail Group. 'Retailers are determined not to be left on the sidelines,' he said. 'They're reinventing the rules on how to do holiday shopping.'" Continue reading →

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The Chart of the Century

"In the late 1970s, when did we see the critical tipping point that marked the beginning of the surge? It was after three things happened: First, we witnessed two periods of real interest rates below zero (same as recent years) … Second, we experienced an initial collapse in bond markets that began to drive yields higher (same as now) … Third, we saw a cross-over into the black, as interest rates rose above the inflation rate (same as just happened earlier this year). And THAT’s when interest rates went through the roof, carrying the U.S. Treasury-bond yield to 13% and the Treasury-bill rate to 17%." Continue reading →

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Developer warns: Take Twitter “write access” at your own risk

"When the right individual or organization Tweets, it can have the power to move global financial markets and major economies, as well as incite mass chaos – all with a single, well-placed, 140 character missive. We’ve seen as much recently when a single Carl Icahn tweet raised Apple’s market cap by $17 billion and another by a hacked Associated Press Twitter account that caused an estimated $135 billion to evaporate from the S&P 500 Index. In an era when everyone from disgruntled teens to war-minded nations are looking for ways to inflict pain, Twitter is an increasingly attractive target." Continue reading →

Continue ReadingDeveloper warns: Take Twitter “write access” at your own risk

18 Signs That Global Financial Markets Are Entering A Horrifying Death Spiral

"The much anticipated 'financial correction' is rapidly approaching, and investors are starting to race for the exits. We have not seen so many financial trouble signs all come together at one time like this since just prior to the last major financial crisis. It is almost as if a 'perfect storm' is brewing, and a lot of the 'smart money' has already gotten out of stocks and bonds. Could it be possible that we are heading toward another nightmarish financial crisis? Could we see a repeat of 2008 or potentially even something worse?" Continue reading →

Continue Reading18 Signs That Global Financial Markets Are Entering A Horrifying Death Spiral