China’s Central Bank Subsidizes the Federal Deficit

"The Chinese central bank creates money out of nothing, just as the Federal Reserve does. Then it takes this newly counterfeited money and buys U.S. government debt, just as the Federal Reserve does. It bought $25 billion of this debt last month. The Federal Reserve bought $45 billion. So, when it comes to currency-rigging, which central bank is the greater culprit? The two economies, China’s and America’s, are addicted to the drug of fiat money. The first central bank to quit counterfeiting — the first one to 'taper' — starts the international recession. The first one to stop inflating permanently will turn the recession into a depression. Which will it be?" Continue reading

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Housing’s Mini-Bubble Has Popped.

"Mortgage rates are up. Mortgage applications are down. New home permits are down. New home construction is down. Not a little down. 'Falling off the burning trestle' down. Bernanke did it. Let us not forget this after he retires next February. Bernanke did it. When the bad news on housing is on the evening news, recall once again: Bernanke did it. With QE3 pouring $40 billion of newly counterfeited money a month into Fannie/Freddie, and mortgage rates rising from 3.35% to 4.6% in two months, let us sing the chorus: Bernanke did it." Continue reading

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Thriving UK Housing Market Creates 77,894 More ‘Millionaires’ Last Year

"More than 300,000 British homes are worth over £1 million pounds ($1.5 million), up 32 percent on last year, according to a property 'rich list' out on Friday. Furthermore, the number of streets where the average property value is over £1 million jumped to 8,230. Unsurprisingly to those familiar with England's expensive capital, London was home to all 20 of the country's most expensive streets. Despite the U.K.'s anemic economy, property prices have continued to rise, fueled by easy monetary policy, housing shortages, and government schemes to make home-buying more affordable." Continue reading

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Senior Italian parliament economist on Ludwig von Mises and the current economic crisis

"The vision Mises had about inflation as an illusion imposed is not so far from the Ricardian idea that government bonds are not net wealth, since future generations will have to bear their burden. Inflation and public debt, then, are two sides of the same coin, because they create substantial intergenerational redistributive effects that policy makers cannot evaluate ex-ante. We are realising today how accurate Mises was in his predictions. Mises had these issues clear in his mind and implicitly warned central bankers of the risk of losing money to its real meaning and of exposing the economy to the risk of currency devaluation." Continue reading

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Fed Puzzle: The Massive Collapse in Money Velocity

"With the velocity of money plummeting, it's clear that something in the fractional reserve banking system is broken -- the money remains trapped in the financial system. Yet another indicator of this is the Fed's Money Multiplier, or an indicator of how the money injected in the banking system is multiplied by lending and economic activity. That's reached new lows recently too, indicating that the fractional reserve system is not living up to expectations. This means that traders with access to large amounts of cheap trading capital can continue to make big bets as the Fed supports their access to capital -- but small businesses can't get the same access to capital." Continue reading

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Ben Bernanke as Easter Bunny: Why the Fed Can’t Prevent the Coming Crash

"If you use a zero percent return, it's easy to figure out how much you need to save. If you want to work for 30 years, and live in retirement for 30 years, then you should save 50 percent. If you want to work for 40 years, and live in retirement for 10 years, you should save 25 percent. And so on. Over the last two decades or so, savings rates have ranged from single digits to slightly negative. In rough terms, zero percent. So as a nation, we have essentially no savings and face very low future returns. The inference is simple: We will need to increase savings drastically." Continue reading

Continue ReadingBen Bernanke as Easter Bunny: Why the Fed Can’t Prevent the Coming Crash

The Fleeting Beauty of Bubbles and Bonds

"The political calculus is simple: the bottom half of households don't vote, don't contribute to political campaigns and don't have enough income to borrow huge sums of money to enrich the banks. They are thus non-entities in the fiscal-monetary project of maintaining the power structure of the Status Quo. All the Status Quo needs to do is borrow enough money to fund social programs that keep the masses passive and silent. Unfortunately for the Powers That Be, the cost of placating the rapidly increasing marginalized populace is rising much faster than tax revenues." Continue reading

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The Fleeting Beauty of Bubbles and Bonds

"The political calculus is simple: the bottom half of households don't vote, don't contribute to political campaigns and don't have enough income to borrow huge sums of money to enrich the banks. They are thus non-entities in the fiscal-monetary project of maintaining the power structure of the Status Quo. All the Status Quo needs to do is borrow enough money to fund social programs that keep the masses passive and silent. Unfortunately for the Powers That Be, the cost of placating the rapidly increasing marginalized populace is rising much faster than tax revenues." Continue reading

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Kyle Bass: “The Next 18 Months Will Redefine Economic Orthodoxy For The West”

"The topics he focuses on are Central bank expansion (with a mind-numbing array of awe-full numbers to explain just where the $10 trillion of freshly created money has gone), Japan's near-term outlook ('the next 18 months in Japan will redefine the economic orthodoxy of the West'), and most importantly since, as he notes, 'we are investing in things that are propped up and somewhat made up,' the psychology of negative outcomes. The latter, Bass explains, is one of the most frequently discussed topics at his firm, as he points out that 'denial' is extremely popular in the financial markets." Continue reading

Continue ReadingKyle Bass: “The Next 18 Months Will Redefine Economic Orthodoxy For The West”

What Every Student in America Needs to Know About the Federal Reserve

"This whole concept of infinite fiat is hard for people to grasp; it is something outside of their experience. People's lifelong experience with money is that it is a limited resource. It is hard to conceive of a group of people who have unlimited, infinite money. Yet the Federal Reserve has just that. The Fed is not like a doctor who prescribes a short-term stimulus for a patient who is feeling run down. The Fed is not like a parent who temporarily puts training wheels on a bike until the kid learns how to ride it. These metaphors make people think that the Fed's fiat printing is temporary and limited. It is not." Continue reading

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