“It’s a terrible mistake to just look at the data from two time periods and forecast the trends to continue. However, as I have been pointing out at the EPJ Daily Alert, there are many reasons to suspect another crash may be on the way: 1. Money supply growth has declined dramatically since the start of the year. 2. There is a natural tendency for the consumption-savings ratio to move towards consumption, starting in September. BTW: In the summer of 1987, money supply, in the manner I track it in the EPJ Daily Alert, collapsed, just like it has this summer.”
http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2013/09/watch-out-below-s-1987-compared-with-s.html